Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the 20th century
Seasonal hindcast experiments, using prescribed SSTs, are analysed for Northern Hemisphere winters from 1900-2010. Ensemble mean Pacific/North American index (PNA) skill varies dramatically, dropping towards zero during the mid-twentieth century, with similar variability in North Atlantic Oscillatio...
Hlavní autoři: | O'Reilly, C, Heatley, J, MacLeod, D, Weisheimer, A, Palmer, T, Schaller, N, Woollings, T |
---|---|
Médium: | Journal article |
Vydáno: |
American Geophysical Union
2017
|
Podobné jednotky
-
Seasonal forecasts of the 20th century
Autor: Weisheimer, A, a další
Vydáno: (2020) -
Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill
Autor: O'Reilly, CH, a další
Vydáno: (2020) -
Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics
Autor: MacLeod, D, a další
Vydáno: (2018) -
Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: Multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution
Autor: Weisheimer, A, a další
Vydáno: (2016) -
Seasonal forecasts of the 20th Century
Autor: O'Reilly, C
Vydáno: (2019)