Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study

In pneumonia, specimens are rarely obtained directly from the infection site, the lung, so the pathogen causing infection is determined indirectly from multiple tests on peripheral clinical specimens, which may have imperfect and uncertain sensitivity and specificity, so inference about the cause is...

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Main Authors: Knoll, M, Fu, W, Shi, Q, Prosperi, C, Wu, Z, Hammitt, LL, Feikin, DR, Baggett, HC, Howie, SRC, Scott, JAG, Murdoch, DR, Madhi, SA, Thea, DM, Brooks, WA, Kotloff, KL, Li, M, Park, DE, Lin, W, Levine, OS, O'Brien, KL, Zeger, SL
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Oxford University Press 2017
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author Knoll, M
Fu, W
Shi, Q
Prosperi, C
Wu, Z
Hammitt, LL
Feikin, DR
Baggett, HC
Howie, SRC
Scott, JAG
Murdoch, DR
Madhi, SA
Thea, DM
Brooks, WA
Kotloff, KL
Li, M
Park, DE
Lin, W
Levine, OS
O'Brien, KL
Zeger, SL
author_facet Knoll, M
Fu, W
Shi, Q
Prosperi, C
Wu, Z
Hammitt, LL
Feikin, DR
Baggett, HC
Howie, SRC
Scott, JAG
Murdoch, DR
Madhi, SA
Thea, DM
Brooks, WA
Kotloff, KL
Li, M
Park, DE
Lin, W
Levine, OS
O'Brien, KL
Zeger, SL
author_sort Knoll, M
collection OXFORD
description In pneumonia, specimens are rarely obtained directly from the infection site, the lung, so the pathogen causing infection is determined indirectly from multiple tests on peripheral clinical specimens, which may have imperfect and uncertain sensitivity and specificity, so inference about the cause is complex. Analytic approaches have included expert review of case-only results, case-control logistic regression, latent class analysis, and attributable fraction, but each has serious limitations and none naturally integrate multiple test results. The Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) study required an analytic solution appropriate for a case-control design that could incorporate evidence from multiple specimens from cases and controls and that accounted for measurement error. We describe a Bayesian integrated approach we developed that combined and extended elements of attributable fraction and latent class analyses to meet some of these challenges and illustrate the advantage it confers regarding the challenges identified for other methods.
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spelling oxford-uuid:22aba3a2-d69a-4338-8d40-e34d0f05c9102022-03-26T11:40:05ZBayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health studyJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:22aba3a2-d69a-4338-8d40-e34d0f05c910EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordOxford University Press2017Knoll, MFu, WShi, QProsperi, CWu, ZHammitt, LLFeikin, DRBaggett, HCHowie, SRCScott, JAGMurdoch, DRMadhi, SAThea, DMBrooks, WAKotloff, KLLi, MPark, DELin, WLevine, OSO'Brien, KLZeger, SLIn pneumonia, specimens are rarely obtained directly from the infection site, the lung, so the pathogen causing infection is determined indirectly from multiple tests on peripheral clinical specimens, which may have imperfect and uncertain sensitivity and specificity, so inference about the cause is complex. Analytic approaches have included expert review of case-only results, case-control logistic regression, latent class analysis, and attributable fraction, but each has serious limitations and none naturally integrate multiple test results. The Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) study required an analytic solution appropriate for a case-control design that could incorporate evidence from multiple specimens from cases and controls and that accounted for measurement error. We describe a Bayesian integrated approach we developed that combined and extended elements of attributable fraction and latent class analyses to meet some of these challenges and illustrate the advantage it confers regarding the challenges identified for other methods.
spellingShingle Knoll, M
Fu, W
Shi, Q
Prosperi, C
Wu, Z
Hammitt, LL
Feikin, DR
Baggett, HC
Howie, SRC
Scott, JAG
Murdoch, DR
Madhi, SA
Thea, DM
Brooks, WA
Kotloff, KL
Li, M
Park, DE
Lin, W
Levine, OS
O'Brien, KL
Zeger, SL
Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title_full Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title_fullStr Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title_short Bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology: Epidemiologic considerations and applications to the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health study
title_sort bayesian estimation of pneumonia etiology epidemiologic considerations and applications to the pneumonia etiology research for child health study
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