Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.

The current weakness in the global economy has generated a debate on the likely outlook for the world economy and the appropriate response for monetary policies. The world economy is currently being buffeted by a number of major shocks. A particular feature has been the large fall in equity markets...

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Main Authors: McKibbin, W, Vines, D
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: RSPAS (Australian National University) 2003
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author McKibbin, W
Vines, D
author_facet McKibbin, W
Vines, D
author_sort McKibbin, W
collection OXFORD
description The current weakness in the global economy has generated a debate on the likely outlook for the world economy and the appropriate response for monetary policies. The world economy is currently being buffeted by a number of major shocks. A particular feature has been the large fall in equity markets in many countries. In this paper we use the MSG3 global economic model to assess the impact on the global economy of a sharp rise in the equity risk premium in a number of countries. In particular we examine whether a rise in equity risk premia (or fall in productivity which has many similar implications) is a shock to aggregate supply or aggregate demand. We explore the difference in the transmission mechanism if the shocks occur just in one country (i.e. the United States) versus across the OECD generally. We then assess the appropriate responses of monetary policy to shocks of this type and explore whether there are gains to coordinating the monetary policy responses of the G7.
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spelling oxford-uuid:230cad21-3127-4526-b2a1-9a9a0613f1c72022-03-26T11:42:05ZChanges in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:230cad21-3127-4526-b2a1-9a9a0613f1c7EnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsRSPAS (Australian National University)2003McKibbin, WVines, DThe current weakness in the global economy has generated a debate on the likely outlook for the world economy and the appropriate response for monetary policies. The world economy is currently being buffeted by a number of major shocks. A particular feature has been the large fall in equity markets in many countries. In this paper we use the MSG3 global economic model to assess the impact on the global economy of a sharp rise in the equity risk premium in a number of countries. In particular we examine whether a rise in equity risk premia (or fall in productivity which has many similar implications) is a shock to aggregate supply or aggregate demand. We explore the difference in the transmission mechanism if the shocks occur just in one country (i.e. the United States) versus across the OECD generally. We then assess the appropriate responses of monetary policy to shocks of this type and explore whether there are gains to coordinating the monetary policy responses of the G7.
spellingShingle McKibbin, W
Vines, D
Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title_full Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title_fullStr Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title_full_unstemmed Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title_short Changes in Equity Risk Perceptions: Global Consequences and Policy Responses.
title_sort changes in equity risk perceptions global consequences and policy responses
work_keys_str_mv AT mckibbinw changesinequityriskperceptionsglobalconsequencesandpolicyresponses
AT vinesd changesinequityriskperceptionsglobalconsequencesandpolicyresponses