Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Lay diagnoses of death collected at burial sites were validated against two 'gold standards': the hospital discharge diagnosis of causes of death obtained by a surveillance of hospital deaths (including autopsy results) and the physician review of verbal autopsies (VAs) that were carried o...

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Main Authors: Araya, T, Reniers, G, Schaap, A, Kebede, D, Kumie, A, Nagelkerke, N, Coutinho, R, Sanders, E
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2004
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author Araya, T
Reniers, G
Schaap, A
Kebede, D
Kumie, A
Nagelkerke, N
Coutinho, R
Sanders, E
author_facet Araya, T
Reniers, G
Schaap, A
Kebede, D
Kumie, A
Nagelkerke, N
Coutinho, R
Sanders, E
author_sort Araya, T
collection OXFORD
description Lay diagnoses of death collected at burial sites were validated against two 'gold standards': the hospital discharge diagnosis of causes of death obtained by a surveillance of hospital deaths (including autopsy results) and the physician review of verbal autopsies (VAs) that were carried out for a sample of cemetery records. The diagnostic indicators of the lay diagnoses were then used to provide estimates of the share of AIDS-attribuTable mortality. The verbal autopsy results provide an independent estimate of the percentage of AIDS deaths. From a total of 21,274 burial records, 2546 hospital discharge diagnoses, 1480 outcomes of autopsies and 200 adult verbal autopsies were gathered over a period of 1 year starting from February 2001. Independent of the gold standard, lay diagnoses such as lung disease and cold have a specificity of about 90% and a combined sensitivity of about 55% in determining AIDS mortality. Without a significant loss in specificity, the sensitivity increases to 60-65% when diarrhoea, TB, herpes zoster and mental or nerve problem are included. We thus conclude that even in the presence of a reluctance to talk of HIV/AIDS, lay diagnosis of causes of death can be used for monitoring AIDS mortality. Lung disease and cold, in particular, have become well-known euphemisms for AIDS in the community. The share of AIDS deaths in the adult population (20-54) is estimated at 68%, without noticeable differences between men and women. Our results confirm the high impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality as was estimated by epidemiological projections for Addis Ababa.
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spelling oxford-uuid:234fecbd-dc66-4561-b117-0db54cc533d32022-03-26T11:43:41ZLay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:234fecbd-dc66-4561-b117-0db54cc533d3EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2004Araya, TReniers, GSchaap, AKebede, DKumie, ANagelkerke, NCoutinho, RSanders, ELay diagnoses of death collected at burial sites were validated against two 'gold standards': the hospital discharge diagnosis of causes of death obtained by a surveillance of hospital deaths (including autopsy results) and the physician review of verbal autopsies (VAs) that were carried out for a sample of cemetery records. The diagnostic indicators of the lay diagnoses were then used to provide estimates of the share of AIDS-attribuTable mortality. The verbal autopsy results provide an independent estimate of the percentage of AIDS deaths. From a total of 21,274 burial records, 2546 hospital discharge diagnoses, 1480 outcomes of autopsies and 200 adult verbal autopsies were gathered over a period of 1 year starting from February 2001. Independent of the gold standard, lay diagnoses such as lung disease and cold have a specificity of about 90% and a combined sensitivity of about 55% in determining AIDS mortality. Without a significant loss in specificity, the sensitivity increases to 60-65% when diarrhoea, TB, herpes zoster and mental or nerve problem are included. We thus conclude that even in the presence of a reluctance to talk of HIV/AIDS, lay diagnosis of causes of death can be used for monitoring AIDS mortality. Lung disease and cold, in particular, have become well-known euphemisms for AIDS in the community. The share of AIDS deaths in the adult population (20-54) is estimated at 68%, without noticeable differences between men and women. Our results confirm the high impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality as was estimated by epidemiological projections for Addis Ababa.
spellingShingle Araya, T
Reniers, G
Schaap, A
Kebede, D
Kumie, A
Nagelkerke, N
Coutinho, R
Sanders, E
Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title_full Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title_fullStr Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title_full_unstemmed Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title_short Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
title_sort lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring aids mortality in addis ababa ethiopia
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