Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK
The UK’s COVID-19 epidemic during early 2020 was one of world’s largest and unusually well represented by virus genomic sampling. Here we reveal the fine-scale genetic lineage structure of this epidemic through analysis of 50,887 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, including 26,181 from the UK sampled throughout th...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
American Association for the Advancement of Science
2021
|
_version_ | 1797058756439179264 |
---|---|
author | Du Plessis, L McCrone, J Zarebski, A Hill, V Ruis, C Gutierrez, B Raghwani, J Asworth, J Colquhoun, R Connor, T Faria, N Jackson, B Loman, N O'Toole, Á Nicholls, S Parag, K Scher, E Vasylyeva, T Volz, E Watts, A Bogoch, I Khan, K Aanensen, D Kraemer, M Rambaut, A Pybus, O |
author_facet | Du Plessis, L McCrone, J Zarebski, A Hill, V Ruis, C Gutierrez, B Raghwani, J Asworth, J Colquhoun, R Connor, T Faria, N Jackson, B Loman, N O'Toole, Á Nicholls, S Parag, K Scher, E Vasylyeva, T Volz, E Watts, A Bogoch, I Khan, K Aanensen, D Kraemer, M Rambaut, A Pybus, O |
author_sort | Du Plessis, L |
collection | OXFORD |
description | The UK’s COVID-19 epidemic during early 2020 was one of world’s largest and unusually well represented by virus genomic sampling. Here we reveal the fine-scale genetic lineage structure of this epidemic through analysis of 50,887 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, including 26,181 from the UK sampled throughout the country’s first wave of infection. Using large-scale phylogenetic analyses, combined with epidemiological and travel data, we quantify the size, spatio-temporal origins and persistence of genetically-distinct UK transmission lineages. Rapid fluctuations in virus importation rates resulted in >1000 lineages; those introduced prior to national lockdown tended to be larger and more dispersed. Lineage importation and regional lineage diversity declined after lockdown, while lineage elimination was size-dependent. We discuss the implications of our genetic perspective on transmission dynamics for COVID-19 epidemiology and control.
|
first_indexed | 2024-03-06T19:54:49Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:2533b939-1e0c-4bff-8fc6-b52ead1e5c87 |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-06T19:54:49Z |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | American Association for the Advancement of Science |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:2533b939-1e0c-4bff-8fc6-b52ead1e5c872022-03-26T11:54:35ZEstablishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UKJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:2533b939-1e0c-4bff-8fc6-b52ead1e5c87EnglishSymplectic ElementsAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science2021Du Plessis, LMcCrone, JZarebski, AHill, VRuis, CGutierrez, BRaghwani, JAsworth, JColquhoun, RConnor, TFaria, NJackson, BLoman, NO'Toole, ÁNicholls, SParag, KScher, EVasylyeva, TVolz, EWatts, ABogoch, IKhan, KAanensen, DKraemer, MRambaut, APybus, OThe UK’s COVID-19 epidemic during early 2020 was one of world’s largest and unusually well represented by virus genomic sampling. Here we reveal the fine-scale genetic lineage structure of this epidemic through analysis of 50,887 SARS-CoV-2 genomes, including 26,181 from the UK sampled throughout the country’s first wave of infection. Using large-scale phylogenetic analyses, combined with epidemiological and travel data, we quantify the size, spatio-temporal origins and persistence of genetically-distinct UK transmission lineages. Rapid fluctuations in virus importation rates resulted in >1000 lineages; those introduced prior to national lockdown tended to be larger and more dispersed. Lineage importation and regional lineage diversity declined after lockdown, while lineage elimination was size-dependent. We discuss the implications of our genetic perspective on transmission dynamics for COVID-19 epidemiology and control. |
spellingShingle | Du Plessis, L McCrone, J Zarebski, A Hill, V Ruis, C Gutierrez, B Raghwani, J Asworth, J Colquhoun, R Connor, T Faria, N Jackson, B Loman, N O'Toole, Á Nicholls, S Parag, K Scher, E Vasylyeva, T Volz, E Watts, A Bogoch, I Khan, K Aanensen, D Kraemer, M Rambaut, A Pybus, O Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title | Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title_full | Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title_fullStr | Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title_full_unstemmed | Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title_short | Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK |
title_sort | establishment and lineage dynamics of the sars cov 2 epidemic in the uk |
work_keys_str_mv | AT duplessisl establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT mccronej establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT zarebskia establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT hillv establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT ruisc establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT gutierrezb establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT raghwanij establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT asworthj establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT colquhounr establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT connort establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT farian establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT jacksonb establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT lomann establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT otoolea establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT nichollss establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT paragk establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT schere establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT vasylyevat establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT volze establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT wattsa establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT bogochi establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT khank establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT aanensend establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT kraemerm establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT rambauta establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk AT pybuso establishmentandlineagedynamicsofthesarscov2epidemicintheuk |