Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic

<p><strong>Objectives:</strong> Little is known about how health issues affect voting behaviour. The Covid-19 pandemic offers a unique opportunity to examine this interplay.</p> <p><strong>Design:</strong> We employ a survey experiment in which treatment gr...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Acharya, A, Gerring, J, Reeves, A
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2020
_version_ 1797060148930281472
author Acharya, A
Gerring, J
Reeves, A
author_facet Acharya, A
Gerring, J
Reeves, A
author_sort Acharya, A
collection OXFORD
description <p><strong>Objectives:</strong> Little is known about how health issues affect voting behaviour. The Covid-19 pandemic offers a unique opportunity to examine this interplay.</p> <p><strong>Design:</strong> We employ a survey experiment in which treatment groups are exposed to key facts about the pandemic, followed by questions intended to elicit attitudes toward the incumbent party and government responsibility for the pandemic.</p> <p><strong>Setting:</strong> The survey was conducted amid the lockdown period of 15 April-6 June 2020 in three large democratic countries with the common governing language of English: India, United Kingdom and United States. Due to limitations on travel and recruitment, subjects were recruited through the M-Turk internet platform and the survey was administered entirely on-line. Respondents numbered 2,913.</p> <p><strong>Results:</strong> Our expectation was that respondents in the treatment group would favor, or disfavor, the incumbent and assign blame to government for the pandemic, when compared to the control group. We observe no such results. Several reasons may be adduced for this null finding. It could be that public health is not viewed as a political issue but rather as a matter of personal conduct, group status, or socioeconomic standing. However, people do think health is an important policy area (>85% percent agree) and that government has some responsibility for health (>90% agree). It could also be that members of the public view public health policies through partisan lenses, which means that it is largely endogenous, and yet we find little evidence of polarization in our data. It could be that the global nature of the Covid-19 pandemic has inoculated politicians from blame and yet a majority of people do think the government is to blame for the spread of the pandemic (~50% agree).</p> <p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> While we cannot precisely determine the mechanisms that might be at work, the null findings contained in this study suggest that politicians are unlikely to be punished or rewarded for their failures or successes in managing Covid-19 in the next election.</p>
first_indexed 2024-03-06T20:13:23Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:2b57c329-a19c-47a0-8608-6fa03b51b67f
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T20:13:23Z
publishDate 2020
publisher BMJ Publishing Group
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:2b57c329-a19c-47a0-8608-6fa03b51b67f2022-03-26T12:30:23ZIs health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemicJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:2b57c329-a19c-47a0-8608-6fa03b51b67fEnglishSymplectic ElementsBMJ Publishing Group2020Acharya, AGerring, JReeves, A<p><strong>Objectives:</strong> Little is known about how health issues affect voting behaviour. The Covid-19 pandemic offers a unique opportunity to examine this interplay.</p> <p><strong>Design:</strong> We employ a survey experiment in which treatment groups are exposed to key facts about the pandemic, followed by questions intended to elicit attitudes toward the incumbent party and government responsibility for the pandemic.</p> <p><strong>Setting:</strong> The survey was conducted amid the lockdown period of 15 April-6 June 2020 in three large democratic countries with the common governing language of English: India, United Kingdom and United States. Due to limitations on travel and recruitment, subjects were recruited through the M-Turk internet platform and the survey was administered entirely on-line. Respondents numbered 2,913.</p> <p><strong>Results:</strong> Our expectation was that respondents in the treatment group would favor, or disfavor, the incumbent and assign blame to government for the pandemic, when compared to the control group. We observe no such results. Several reasons may be adduced for this null finding. It could be that public health is not viewed as a political issue but rather as a matter of personal conduct, group status, or socioeconomic standing. However, people do think health is an important policy area (>85% percent agree) and that government has some responsibility for health (>90% agree). It could also be that members of the public view public health policies through partisan lenses, which means that it is largely endogenous, and yet we find little evidence of polarization in our data. It could be that the global nature of the Covid-19 pandemic has inoculated politicians from blame and yet a majority of people do think the government is to blame for the spread of the pandemic (~50% agree).</p> <p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> While we cannot precisely determine the mechanisms that might be at work, the null findings contained in this study suggest that politicians are unlikely to be punished or rewarded for their failures or successes in managing Covid-19 in the next election.</p>
spellingShingle Acharya, A
Gerring, J
Reeves, A
Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title_full Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title_fullStr Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title_short Is health politically irrelevant? experimental evidence during a global pandemic
title_sort is health politically irrelevant experimental evidence during a global pandemic
work_keys_str_mv AT acharyaa ishealthpoliticallyirrelevantexperimentalevidenceduringaglobalpandemic
AT gerringj ishealthpoliticallyirrelevantexperimentalevidenceduringaglobalpandemic
AT reevesa ishealthpoliticallyirrelevantexperimentalevidenceduringaglobalpandemic