Robustifying forecasts from equilibrium-correction models

Cointegration analysis has led to equilibrium-correction econometric systems being ubiquitous. But in a non-stationary world subject to structural breaks, where model and mechanism differ, equilibrium-correction models are a risky device from which to forecast. Equilibrium shifts entail systematic f...

Description complète

Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Hendry, D
Format: Journal article
Langue:English
Publié: Elsevier 2005
Sujets: