Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of multiple sclerosis is thought to be increasing, but this notion has been difficult to substantiate. In a longitudinal population-based dataset of patients with multiple sclerosis obtained over more than three decades, we did not show a difference in time to diagnosis by sex....

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Main Authors: Orton, S, Herrera, B, Yee, I, Valdar, W, Ramagopalan, S, Sadovnick, A, Ebers, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2006
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author Orton, S
Herrera, B
Yee, I
Valdar, W
Ramagopalan, S
Sadovnick, A
Ebers, G
author_facet Orton, S
Herrera, B
Yee, I
Valdar, W
Ramagopalan, S
Sadovnick, A
Ebers, G
author_sort Orton, S
collection OXFORD
description BACKGROUND: Incidence of multiple sclerosis is thought to be increasing, but this notion has been difficult to substantiate. In a longitudinal population-based dataset of patients with multiple sclerosis obtained over more than three decades, we did not show a difference in time to diagnosis by sex. We reasoned that if a sex-specific change in incidence was occurring, the female to male sex ratio would serve as a surrogate of incidence change. METHODS: Since environmental risk factors seem to act early in life, we calculated sex ratios by birth year in 27 074 Canadian patients with multiple sclerosis identified as part of a longitudinal population-based dataset. FINDINGS: The female to male sex ratio by year of birth has been increasing for at least 50 years and now exceeds 3.2:1 in Canada. Year of birth was a significant predictor for sex ratio (p<0.0001, chi(2)=124.4; rank correlation r=0.84). INTERPRETATION: The substantial increase in the female to male sex ratio in Canada seems to result from a disproportional increase in incidence of multiple sclerosis in women. This rapid change must have environmental origins even if it is associated with a gene-environment interaction, and implies that a large proportion of multiple sclerosis cases may be preventable in situ. Although the reasons why incidence of the disease is increasing are unknown, there are major implications for health-care provision because lifetime costs of multiple sclerosis exceed pound1 million per case in the UK.
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spelling oxford-uuid:2e91c078-f828-4f01-98a5-a1fbd5f437f32022-03-26T12:49:43ZSex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:2e91c078-f828-4f01-98a5-a1fbd5f437f3EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2006Orton, SHerrera, BYee, IValdar, WRamagopalan, SSadovnick, AEbers, GBACKGROUND: Incidence of multiple sclerosis is thought to be increasing, but this notion has been difficult to substantiate. In a longitudinal population-based dataset of patients with multiple sclerosis obtained over more than three decades, we did not show a difference in time to diagnosis by sex. We reasoned that if a sex-specific change in incidence was occurring, the female to male sex ratio would serve as a surrogate of incidence change. METHODS: Since environmental risk factors seem to act early in life, we calculated sex ratios by birth year in 27 074 Canadian patients with multiple sclerosis identified as part of a longitudinal population-based dataset. FINDINGS: The female to male sex ratio by year of birth has been increasing for at least 50 years and now exceeds 3.2:1 in Canada. Year of birth was a significant predictor for sex ratio (p<0.0001, chi(2)=124.4; rank correlation r=0.84). INTERPRETATION: The substantial increase in the female to male sex ratio in Canada seems to result from a disproportional increase in incidence of multiple sclerosis in women. This rapid change must have environmental origins even if it is associated with a gene-environment interaction, and implies that a large proportion of multiple sclerosis cases may be preventable in situ. Although the reasons why incidence of the disease is increasing are unknown, there are major implications for health-care provision because lifetime costs of multiple sclerosis exceed pound1 million per case in the UK.
spellingShingle Orton, S
Herrera, B
Yee, I
Valdar, W
Ramagopalan, S
Sadovnick, A
Ebers, G
Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title_full Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title_fullStr Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title_full_unstemmed Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title_short Sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in Canada: a longitudinal study.
title_sort sex ratio of multiple sclerosis in canada a longitudinal study
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