Oracle inequalities for high dimensional vector autoregressions

<p style="text-align:justify;"> This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
主要な著者: Kock, A, Callot, L
フォーマット: Journal article
出版事項: Elsevier 2015
その他の書誌記述
要約:<p style="text-align:justify;"> This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when the number of parameters is of a much larger order of magnitude than the sample size. We also state conditions under which no relevant variables are excluded.<br/><br/> Next, non-asymptotic probabilities are given for the adaptive LASSO to select the correct sparsity pattern. We then provide conditions under which the adaptive LASSO reveals the correct sparsity pattern asymptotically. We establish that the estimates of the non-zero coefficients are asymptotically equivalent to the oracle assisted least squares estimator. This is used to show that the rate of convergence of the estimates of the non-zero coefficients is identical to the one of least squares only including the relevant covariates. </p>