Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data

Attempts to control hospital expenditure by managing down General Practitioner (GP) referrals are reoccurring features of UK health policy. However, despite the best efforts of GPs to benchmark referral criteria, patient health may be damaged and other costs created by constraining referrals to targ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: McCormick, B, Nicodemo, C, Redding, S
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021
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author McCormick, B
Nicodemo, C
Redding, S
author_facet McCormick, B
Nicodemo, C
Redding, S
author_sort McCormick, B
collection OXFORD
description Attempts to control hospital expenditure by managing down General Practitioner (GP) referrals are reoccurring features of UK health policy. However, despite the best efforts of GPs to benchmark referral criteria, patient health may be damaged and other costs created by constraining referrals to targets. This paper adopts an indirect method to indicate whether rationing practice referrals may damage population health by distorting the use of health resources away from patients' interests. We utilise a comprehensive database at practice level that allows us to explore the relationship between referrals and emergency admissions, using a panel fixed effects model of admissions that allows for the endogeneity of referrals. We find that practice referrals are positively and partially correlated with emergency admissions, which is consistent with time-varying practice-level sickness shocks driving the relationship between referrals and emergency care, rather than shocks to the practice willingness to refer, or to system reforms. In this environment, government policy to constrain referrals may make the elective care less responsive to practice-level variations in illness, and thereby lower health.
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spelling oxford-uuid:34fc69e5-c33a-4f6d-b384-21cca48a291d2022-03-26T13:29:26ZWill policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative dataJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:34fc69e5-c33a-4f6d-b384-21cca48a291dEnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2021McCormick, BNicodemo, CRedding, SAttempts to control hospital expenditure by managing down General Practitioner (GP) referrals are reoccurring features of UK health policy. However, despite the best efforts of GPs to benchmark referral criteria, patient health may be damaged and other costs created by constraining referrals to targets. This paper adopts an indirect method to indicate whether rationing practice referrals may damage population health by distorting the use of health resources away from patients' interests. We utilise a comprehensive database at practice level that allows us to explore the relationship between referrals and emergency admissions, using a panel fixed effects model of admissions that allows for the endogeneity of referrals. We find that practice referrals are positively and partially correlated with emergency admissions, which is consistent with time-varying practice-level sickness shocks driving the relationship between referrals and emergency care, rather than shocks to the practice willingness to refer, or to system reforms. In this environment, government policy to constrain referrals may make the elective care less responsive to practice-level variations in illness, and thereby lower health.
spellingShingle McCormick, B
Nicodemo, C
Redding, S
Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title_full Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title_fullStr Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title_full_unstemmed Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title_short Will policy to constrain GP referrals damage health? Evidence using practice level NHS emergency admissions administrative data
title_sort will policy to constrain gp referrals damage health evidence using practice level nhs emergency admissions administrative data
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