Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths

An appreciation of how some species are becoming more common despite unprecedented anthropogenic pressures could offer key insights for mitigating the global biodiversity crisis. Research to date has largely focused on declining species, while species that are becoming more common have received rel...

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Auteurs principaux: Boyes, DH, Fox, R, Shortall, CR, Whittaker, R
Format: Journal article
Publié: International Biogeography Society 2019
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author Boyes, DH
Fox, R
Shortall, CR
Whittaker, R
author_facet Boyes, DH
Fox, R
Shortall, CR
Whittaker, R
author_sort Boyes, DH
collection OXFORD
description An appreciation of how some species are becoming more common despite unprecedented anthropogenic pressures could offer key insights for mitigating the global biodiversity crisis. Research to date has largely focused on declining species, while species that are becoming more common have received relatively little attention. Macro-moths in Great Britain are well-studied and species-rich, making them an ideal group for addressing this knowledge gap. Here, we examine changes in 51 successful species between 1968 and 2016 using 4.5 million occurrence records and a systematic monitoring dataset. We employ 3D graphical analysis to visualise long-term multidimensional trends in prevalence (abundance and range) and use vector autoregression models to test whether past values of local abundance are useful for predicting changes in the extent of occurrence. The responses of Anthropocene winners are heterogeneous, suggesting multiple drivers are responsible. Changes in range and local abundance frequently occur intermittently through time, demonstrating the value of long-term, continuous monitoring. There is significant diversity among the winners themselves, which include widespread generalists, habitat specialists, and recent colonists. We offer brief discussion of possible causal factors and the wider ecosystem implications of these trends.
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spelling oxford-uuid:35237015-4b24-48c3-ab7c-7106bbfdff8c2022-03-26T13:30:15ZBucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British mothsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:35237015-4b24-48c3-ab7c-7106bbfdff8cSymplectic Elements at OxfordInternational Biogeography Society2019Boyes, DHFox, RShortall, CRWhittaker, RAn appreciation of how some species are becoming more common despite unprecedented anthropogenic pressures could offer key insights for mitigating the global biodiversity crisis. Research to date has largely focused on declining species, while species that are becoming more common have received relatively little attention. Macro-moths in Great Britain are well-studied and species-rich, making them an ideal group for addressing this knowledge gap. Here, we examine changes in 51 successful species between 1968 and 2016 using 4.5 million occurrence records and a systematic monitoring dataset. We employ 3D graphical analysis to visualise long-term multidimensional trends in prevalence (abundance and range) and use vector autoregression models to test whether past values of local abundance are useful for predicting changes in the extent of occurrence. The responses of Anthropocene winners are heterogeneous, suggesting multiple drivers are responsible. Changes in range and local abundance frequently occur intermittently through time, demonstrating the value of long-term, continuous monitoring. There is significant diversity among the winners themselves, which include widespread generalists, habitat specialists, and recent colonists. We offer brief discussion of possible causal factors and the wider ecosystem implications of these trends.
spellingShingle Boyes, DH
Fox, R
Shortall, CR
Whittaker, R
Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title_full Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title_fullStr Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title_full_unstemmed Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title_short Bucking the trend: the diversity of Anthropocene ‘winners’ among British moths
title_sort bucking the trend the diversity of anthropocene winners among british moths
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