On Selecting Policy Analysis Models by Forecast Accuracy.

The value of selecting the best forecasting model as the basis for empirical economic policy analysis is questioned. When no model coincides with the data generation process, non-causal statistical devices may provide the best available forecasts: examples from recent work include intercept correcti...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Principais autores: Hendry, D, Mizon, G
Outros Autores: Atkinson, T
Formato: Book section
Idioma:English
Publicado em: London School of Economics 2000