Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?

The effect on stratospheric temperature of changing ozone is investigated by comparing two 5-member ensembles of 20-year Unified Model transient runs, one with a linear trend in ozone and one without. A significant stratospheric mean temperature trend of -0.17 K/ decade is attributed to ozone deplet...

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Main Authors: Hare, S, Gray, L, Lahoz, W, O'Neill, A, Steenman-Clark, L
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2004
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author Hare, S
Gray, L
Lahoz, W
O'Neill, A
Steenman-Clark, L
author_facet Hare, S
Gray, L
Lahoz, W
O'Neill, A
Steenman-Clark, L
author_sort Hare, S
collection OXFORD
description The effect on stratospheric temperature of changing ozone is investigated by comparing two 5-member ensembles of 20-year Unified Model transient runs, one with a linear trend in ozone and one without. A significant stratospheric mean temperature trend of -0.17 K/ decade is attributed to ozone depletion. It is found that, although increasing the ensemble size to 20 members would have considerable benefits, increasing the ensemble size further would not dramatically improve confidence in the results. The timeslice approach to climate change modeling is found to produce similar temperature trends to the transient approach for this experiment. Copyright 2004 by the American Geophysical Union.
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spelling oxford-uuid:417a91f7-8ef0-45b5-b4d9-34d51e79a1512022-03-26T14:43:55ZCan stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:417a91f7-8ef0-45b5-b4d9-34d51e79a151EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2004Hare, SGray, LLahoz, WO'Neill, ASteenman-Clark, LThe effect on stratospheric temperature of changing ozone is investigated by comparing two 5-member ensembles of 20-year Unified Model transient runs, one with a linear trend in ozone and one without. A significant stratospheric mean temperature trend of -0.17 K/ decade is attributed to ozone depletion. It is found that, although increasing the ensemble size to 20 members would have considerable benefits, increasing the ensemble size further would not dramatically improve confidence in the results. The timeslice approach to climate change modeling is found to produce similar temperature trends to the transient approach for this experiment. Copyright 2004 by the American Geophysical Union.
spellingShingle Hare, S
Gray, L
Lahoz, W
O'Neill, A
Steenman-Clark, L
Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title_full Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title_fullStr Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title_full_unstemmed Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title_short Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion?
title_sort can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion
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