Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?

The COVID-19 crisis is likely to have dramatic consequences for progress on climate change. Imminent fiscal recovery packages could entrench or partly displace the current fossil-fuel-intensive economic system. Here, we survey 231 central bank officials, finance ministry officials, and other economi...

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Main Authors: Hepburn, C, O’Callaghan, B, Stern, N, Stiglitz, J, Zenghelis, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Oxford University Press 2020
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author Hepburn, C
O’Callaghan, B
Stern, N
Stiglitz, J
Zenghelis, D
author_facet Hepburn, C
O’Callaghan, B
Stern, N
Stiglitz, J
Zenghelis, D
author_sort Hepburn, C
collection OXFORD
description The COVID-19 crisis is likely to have dramatic consequences for progress on climate change. Imminent fiscal recovery packages could entrench or partly displace the current fossil-fuel-intensive economic system. Here, we survey 231 central bank officials, finance ministry officials, and other economic experts from G20 countries on the relative performance of 25 major fiscal recovery archetypes across four dimensions: speed of implementation, economic multiplier, climate impact potential, and overall desirability. We identify five policies with high potential on both economic multiplier and climate impact metrics: clean physical infrastructure, building efficiency retrofits, investment in education and training, natural capital investment, and clean R&D. In lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) rural support spending is of particular value while clean R&D is less important. These recommendations are contextualised through analysis of the short-run impacts of COVID-19 on greenhouse gas curtailment and plausible medium-run shifts in the habits and behaviours of humans and institutions.
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spelling oxford-uuid:436d6f02-cd66-404b-8029-26b3b3efdff72022-05-09T08:07:02ZWill COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:436d6f02-cd66-404b-8029-26b3b3efdff7EnglishSymplectic ElementsOxford University Press2020Hepburn, CO’Callaghan, BStern, NStiglitz, JZenghelis, DThe COVID-19 crisis is likely to have dramatic consequences for progress on climate change. Imminent fiscal recovery packages could entrench or partly displace the current fossil-fuel-intensive economic system. Here, we survey 231 central bank officials, finance ministry officials, and other economic experts from G20 countries on the relative performance of 25 major fiscal recovery archetypes across four dimensions: speed of implementation, economic multiplier, climate impact potential, and overall desirability. We identify five policies with high potential on both economic multiplier and climate impact metrics: clean physical infrastructure, building efficiency retrofits, investment in education and training, natural capital investment, and clean R&D. In lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) rural support spending is of particular value while clean R&D is less important. These recommendations are contextualised through analysis of the short-run impacts of COVID-19 on greenhouse gas curtailment and plausible medium-run shifts in the habits and behaviours of humans and institutions.
spellingShingle Hepburn, C
O’Callaghan, B
Stern, N
Stiglitz, J
Zenghelis, D
Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title_full Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title_fullStr Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title_full_unstemmed Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title_short Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?
title_sort will covid 19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change
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AT sternn willcovid19fiscalrecoverypackagesaccelerateorretardprogressonclimatechange
AT stiglitzj willcovid19fiscalrecoverypackagesaccelerateorretardprogressonclimatechange
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