Saddlepath learning

Saddlepath learning occurs when agents learn adaptively using a perceived law of motion that has the same form as the saddlepath relationship in rational expectations equilibrium. Under saddlepath learning, we obtain a completely general relationship between determinacy and e-stability, and general...

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Main Authors: Ellison, M, Pearlman, J
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2010
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author Ellison, M
Pearlman, J
author_facet Ellison, M
Pearlman, J
author_sort Ellison, M
collection OXFORD
description Saddlepath learning occurs when agents learn adaptively using a perceived law of motion that has the same form as the saddlepath relationship in rational expectations equilibrium. Under saddlepath learning, we obtain a completely general relationship between determinacy and e-stability, and generalise Minimum State Variable results previously derived only under full information. When the system is determinate, we show that a learning process based on the saddlepath is always e-stable. When the system is indeterminate, we find there is a unique MSV solution that is iteratively e-stable. However, in this case there is a sunspot solution that is learnable as well. We conclude by demonstrating that our results hold for any information set.
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spelling oxford-uuid:450fcea0-288c-4a6c-896c-25eac6a4366c2022-03-26T15:05:34ZSaddlepath learningWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:450fcea0-288c-4a6c-896c-25eac6a4366cBulk import via SwordSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2010Ellison, MPearlman, JSaddlepath learning occurs when agents learn adaptively using a perceived law of motion that has the same form as the saddlepath relationship in rational expectations equilibrium. Under saddlepath learning, we obtain a completely general relationship between determinacy and e-stability, and generalise Minimum State Variable results previously derived only under full information. When the system is determinate, we show that a learning process based on the saddlepath is always e-stable. When the system is indeterminate, we find there is a unique MSV solution that is iteratively e-stable. However, in this case there is a sunspot solution that is learnable as well. We conclude by demonstrating that our results hold for any information set.
spellingShingle Ellison, M
Pearlman, J
Saddlepath learning
title Saddlepath learning
title_full Saddlepath learning
title_fullStr Saddlepath learning
title_full_unstemmed Saddlepath learning
title_short Saddlepath learning
title_sort saddlepath learning
work_keys_str_mv AT ellisonm saddlepathlearning
AT pearlmanj saddlepathlearning