Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence

Assessing the impact of environmental fluctuations on species coexistence is critical for understanding biodiversity loss and the ecological impacts of climate change. Yet determining how properties like the intensity, frequency or duration of environmental fluctuations influence species coexistence...

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Main Authors: Liu, M, Rubenstein, DR, Cheong, SA, Shen, S-F
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Royal Society 2021
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author Liu, M
Rubenstein, DR
Cheong, SA
Shen, S-F
author_facet Liu, M
Rubenstein, DR
Cheong, SA
Shen, S-F
author_sort Liu, M
collection OXFORD
description Assessing the impact of environmental fluctuations on species coexistence is critical for understanding biodiversity loss and the ecological impacts of climate change. Yet determining how properties like the intensity, frequency or duration of environmental fluctuations influence species coexistence remains challenging, presumably because previous studies have focused on indefinite coexistence. Here, we model the impact of environmental fluctuations at different temporal scales on species coexistence over a finite time period by employing the concepts of time-windowed averaging and performance curves to incorporate temporal niche differences within a stochastic Lotka–Volterra model. We discover that short- and long-term environmental variability has contrasting effects on transient species coexistence, such that short-term variation favours species coexistence, whereas long-term variation promotes competitive exclusion. This dichotomy occurs because small samples (e.g. environmental changes over long time periods) are more likely to show large deviations from the expected mean and are more difficult to predict than large samples (e.g. environmental changes over short time periods), as described in the central limit theorem. Consequently, we show that the complex set of relationships among environmental fluctuations and species coexistence found in previous studies can all be synthesized within a general framework by explicitly considering both long- and short-term environmental variation.
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spelling oxford-uuid:453cd183-a63d-4bd7-84f0-1ae983514f362022-03-26T15:06:40ZAntagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistenceJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:453cd183-a63d-4bd7-84f0-1ae983514f36EnglishSymplectic ElementsRoyal Society2021Liu, MRubenstein, DRCheong, SAShen, S-FAssessing the impact of environmental fluctuations on species coexistence is critical for understanding biodiversity loss and the ecological impacts of climate change. Yet determining how properties like the intensity, frequency or duration of environmental fluctuations influence species coexistence remains challenging, presumably because previous studies have focused on indefinite coexistence. Here, we model the impact of environmental fluctuations at different temporal scales on species coexistence over a finite time period by employing the concepts of time-windowed averaging and performance curves to incorporate temporal niche differences within a stochastic Lotka–Volterra model. We discover that short- and long-term environmental variability has contrasting effects on transient species coexistence, such that short-term variation favours species coexistence, whereas long-term variation promotes competitive exclusion. This dichotomy occurs because small samples (e.g. environmental changes over long time periods) are more likely to show large deviations from the expected mean and are more difficult to predict than large samples (e.g. environmental changes over short time periods), as described in the central limit theorem. Consequently, we show that the complex set of relationships among environmental fluctuations and species coexistence found in previous studies can all be synthesized within a general framework by explicitly considering both long- and short-term environmental variation.
spellingShingle Liu, M
Rubenstein, DR
Cheong, SA
Shen, S-F
Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title_full Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title_fullStr Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title_full_unstemmed Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title_short Antagonistic effects of long- and short-term environmental variation on species coexistence
title_sort antagonistic effects of long and short term environmental variation on species coexistence
work_keys_str_mv AT lium antagonisticeffectsoflongandshorttermenvironmentalvariationonspeciescoexistence
AT rubensteindr antagonisticeffectsoflongandshorttermenvironmentalvariationonspeciescoexistence
AT cheongsa antagonisticeffectsoflongandshorttermenvironmentalvariationonspeciescoexistence
AT shensf antagonisticeffectsoflongandshorttermenvironmentalvariationonspeciescoexistence