Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution
Blocking of the tropospheric jet stream during Northern Hemisphere winter (December-January-February) is examined in a multi-model ensemble of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (GCMs) obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The CMIP5 models exhibit...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
2013
|
_version_ | 1797066147772760064 |
---|---|
author | Anstey, J Davini, P Gray, L Woollings, T Butchart, N Cagnazzo, C Christiansen, B Hardiman, S Osprey, S Yang, S |
author_facet | Anstey, J Davini, P Gray, L Woollings, T Butchart, N Cagnazzo, C Christiansen, B Hardiman, S Osprey, S Yang, S |
author_sort | Anstey, J |
collection | OXFORD |
description | Blocking of the tropospheric jet stream during Northern Hemisphere winter (December-January-February) is examined in a multi-model ensemble of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (GCMs) obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The CMIP5 models exhibit large biases in blocking frequency and related biases in tropospheric jet latitude, similar to earlier generations of GCMs. Underestimated blocking at high latitudes, especially over Europe, is common. In general, model biases decrease as model resolution increases. Increased blocking frequency at high latitudes in both the Atlantic and Pacific basins, as well as more realistic variability of Atlantic jet latitude, are associated with increased vertical resolution in the mid-troposphere to lowermost stratosphere. Finer horizontal resolution is associated with higher blocking frequency at all latitudes in the Atlantic basin but appears to have no systematic impact on blocking near Greenland or in the Pacific basin. Results from the CMIP5 analysis are corroborated by additional controlled experiments using selected GCMs. Key PointsCMIP5 models have large blocking biases and associated jet biasesIncreased spatial resolution is associated with reduced blocking and jet biasesVertical and horizontal resolution give blocking changes in different regions ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:38:15Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:47024cc1-4328-4a8b-85ca-9a54b7cc4ed9 |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:38:15Z |
publishDate | 2013 |
publisher | Blackwell Publishing Ltd |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:47024cc1-4328-4a8b-85ca-9a54b7cc4ed92022-03-26T15:17:22ZMulti-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolutionJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:47024cc1-4328-4a8b-85ca-9a54b7cc4ed9EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordBlackwell Publishing Ltd2013Anstey, JDavini, PGray, LWoollings, TButchart, NCagnazzo, CChristiansen, BHardiman, SOsprey, SYang, SBlocking of the tropospheric jet stream during Northern Hemisphere winter (December-January-February) is examined in a multi-model ensemble of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (GCMs) obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). The CMIP5 models exhibit large biases in blocking frequency and related biases in tropospheric jet latitude, similar to earlier generations of GCMs. Underestimated blocking at high latitudes, especially over Europe, is common. In general, model biases decrease as model resolution increases. Increased blocking frequency at high latitudes in both the Atlantic and Pacific basins, as well as more realistic variability of Atlantic jet latitude, are associated with increased vertical resolution in the mid-troposphere to lowermost stratosphere. Finer horizontal resolution is associated with higher blocking frequency at all latitudes in the Atlantic basin but appears to have no systematic impact on blocking near Greenland or in the Pacific basin. Results from the CMIP5 analysis are corroborated by additional controlled experiments using selected GCMs. Key PointsCMIP5 models have large blocking biases and associated jet biasesIncreased spatial resolution is associated with reduced blocking and jet biasesVertical and horizontal resolution give blocking changes in different regions ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
spellingShingle | Anstey, J Davini, P Gray, L Woollings, T Butchart, N Cagnazzo, C Christiansen, B Hardiman, S Osprey, S Yang, S Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title | Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title_full | Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title_fullStr | Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title_full_unstemmed | Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title_short | Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution |
title_sort | multi model analysis of northern hemisphere winter blocking model biases and the role of resolution |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ansteyj multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT davinip multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT grayl multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT woollingst multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT butchartn multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT cagnazzoc multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT christiansenb multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT hardimans multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT ospreys multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution AT yangs multimodelanalysisofnorthernhemispherewinterblockingmodelbiasesandtheroleofresolution |