Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology
1. Applied ecologists often face uncertainty that hinders effective decision-making. <br/>2. Common traps that may catch the unwary are: ignoring uncertainty, acknowledging uncertainty but ploughing on, focussing on trivial uncertainties, believing your models, and unclear objectives. <br...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Journal article |
| Published: |
Wiley
2017
|
| _version_ | 1826270448066756608 |
|---|---|
| author | Milner-Gulland, E Shea, K |
| author_facet | Milner-Gulland, E Shea, K |
| author_sort | Milner-Gulland, E |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | 1. Applied ecologists often face uncertainty that hinders effective decision-making. <br/>2. Common traps that may catch the unwary are: ignoring uncertainty, acknowledging uncertainty but ploughing on, focussing on trivial uncertainties, believing your models, and unclear objectives. <br/>3. We integrate research insights and examples from a wide range of applied ecological fields to illustrate advances that are generally underused, but could facilitate ecologists’ ability to plan and execute research to support management. <br/>4. Recommended approaches to avoid uncertainty traps are: embracing models, using decision theory, using models more effectively, thinking experimentally, and being realistic about uncertainty. <br/>5. Synthesis and applications. Applied ecologists can become more effective at informing management by using approaches that explicitly take account of uncertainty. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:40:59Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:47e9eace-5e5a-434a-b048-8d49b95d4697 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:40:59Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:47e9eace-5e5a-434a-b048-8d49b95d46972022-03-26T15:22:47ZEmbracing uncertainty in applied ecologyJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:47e9eace-5e5a-434a-b048-8d49b95d4697Symplectic Elements at OxfordWiley2017Milner-Gulland, EShea, K1. Applied ecologists often face uncertainty that hinders effective decision-making. <br/>2. Common traps that may catch the unwary are: ignoring uncertainty, acknowledging uncertainty but ploughing on, focussing on trivial uncertainties, believing your models, and unclear objectives. <br/>3. We integrate research insights and examples from a wide range of applied ecological fields to illustrate advances that are generally underused, but could facilitate ecologists’ ability to plan and execute research to support management. <br/>4. Recommended approaches to avoid uncertainty traps are: embracing models, using decision theory, using models more effectively, thinking experimentally, and being realistic about uncertainty. <br/>5. Synthesis and applications. Applied ecologists can become more effective at informing management by using approaches that explicitly take account of uncertainty. |
| spellingShingle | Milner-Gulland, E Shea, K Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title | Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title_full | Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title_fullStr | Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title_full_unstemmed | Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title_short | Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| title_sort | embracing uncertainty in applied ecology |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT milnergullande embracinguncertaintyinappliedecology AT sheak embracinguncertaintyinappliedecology |