The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade
<p style="text-align:justify;"> Foreign exchange windfalls such as those from natural resource revenues change nonresource exports, imports, and the capital account. The paper studies the balance between these responses and shows that the response to $1 of resource revenue is, for o...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
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Palgrave Macmillan
2016
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| _version_ | 1797066570522951680 |
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| author | Harding, T Venables, A |
| author_facet | Harding, T Venables, A |
| author_sort | Harding, T |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | <p style="text-align:justify;"> Foreign exchange windfalls such as those from natural resource revenues change nonresource exports, imports, and the capital account. The paper studies the balance between these responses and shows that the response to $1 of resource revenue is, for our preferred estimates, to decrease nonresource exports by 74 cents and increase imports by 23 cents, implying a negligible effect on foreign savings. The negative per dollar 1 impact on exports is larger for manufactures than for other sectors, and particularly large for internationally mobile manufacturing sectors. Although standard Dutch disease analysis points to contraction of the tradable sector as a whole, division into nonresource exports and imports is important if, as suggested by much development literature, a higher share of exports to GDP is associated with faster growth. The large negative impact of resources on these exports points to the difficulty resource-rich economies face in diversifying their exports. </p> |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:43:58Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:48e7977e-b06a-479a-8880-a07f75cd58d7 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T21:43:58Z |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publisher | Palgrave Macmillan |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:48e7977e-b06a-479a-8880-a07f75cd58d72022-03-26T15:28:30ZThe implications of natural resource exports for nonresource tradeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:48e7977e-b06a-479a-8880-a07f75cd58d7Symplectic Elements at OxfordPalgrave Macmillan2016Harding, TVenables, A <p style="text-align:justify;"> Foreign exchange windfalls such as those from natural resource revenues change nonresource exports, imports, and the capital account. The paper studies the balance between these responses and shows that the response to $1 of resource revenue is, for our preferred estimates, to decrease nonresource exports by 74 cents and increase imports by 23 cents, implying a negligible effect on foreign savings. The negative per dollar 1 impact on exports is larger for manufactures than for other sectors, and particularly large for internationally mobile manufacturing sectors. Although standard Dutch disease analysis points to contraction of the tradable sector as a whole, division into nonresource exports and imports is important if, as suggested by much development literature, a higher share of exports to GDP is associated with faster growth. The large negative impact of resources on these exports points to the difficulty resource-rich economies face in diversifying their exports. </p> |
| spellingShingle | Harding, T Venables, A The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title | The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title_full | The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title_fullStr | The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title_full_unstemmed | The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title_short | The implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| title_sort | implications of natural resource exports for nonresource trade |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hardingt theimplicationsofnaturalresourceexportsfornonresourcetrade AT venablesa theimplicationsofnaturalresourceexportsfornonresourcetrade AT hardingt implicationsofnaturalresourceexportsfornonresourcetrade AT venablesa implicationsofnaturalresourceexportsfornonresourcetrade |