Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping
Green ammonia has been proposed as a technologically viable solution to decarbonise global shipping, yet there are conflicting ambitions for where global production, transport and fuelling infrastructure will be located. Here, we develop a spatial modelling framework to quantify the cost-optimal fue...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2024
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| _version_ | 1811139704713641984 |
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| author | Verschuur, J Salmon, N Hall, J Bañares-Alcántara, R |
| author_facet | Verschuur, J Salmon, N Hall, J Bañares-Alcántara, R |
| author_sort | Verschuur, J |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | Green ammonia has been proposed as a technologically viable solution to decarbonise global shipping, yet there are conflicting ambitions for where global production, transport and fuelling infrastructure will be located. Here, we develop a spatial modelling framework to quantify the cost-optimal fuel supply to decarbonise shipping in 2050 using green ammonia. We find that the demand for green ammonia by 2050 could be three to four times the current (grey) ammonia production, requiring major new investments in infrastructure. Our model predicts a regionalisation of supply, entailing a few large supply clusters that will serve regional demand centres, with limited long-distance shipping of green ammonia fuel. In this cost-efficient model, practically all green ammonia production is predicted to lie within 40° latitudes North/South. To facilitate this transformation, investments worth USD 2 trillion would be needed, half of which will be required in low- and middle-income countries. |
| first_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:10:19Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:4d124386-80cc-40f2-8954-c8f0e6489281 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-09-25T04:10:19Z |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:4d124386-80cc-40f2-8954-c8f0e64892812024-06-20T10:57:11ZOptimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shippingJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:4d124386-80cc-40f2-8954-c8f0e6489281EnglishSymplectic ElementsIOP Publishing2024Verschuur, JSalmon, NHall, JBañares-Alcántara, RGreen ammonia has been proposed as a technologically viable solution to decarbonise global shipping, yet there are conflicting ambitions for where global production, transport and fuelling infrastructure will be located. Here, we develop a spatial modelling framework to quantify the cost-optimal fuel supply to decarbonise shipping in 2050 using green ammonia. We find that the demand for green ammonia by 2050 could be three to four times the current (grey) ammonia production, requiring major new investments in infrastructure. Our model predicts a regionalisation of supply, entailing a few large supply clusters that will serve regional demand centres, with limited long-distance shipping of green ammonia fuel. In this cost-efficient model, practically all green ammonia production is predicted to lie within 40° latitudes North/South. To facilitate this transformation, investments worth USD 2 trillion would be needed, half of which will be required in low- and middle-income countries. |
| spellingShingle | Verschuur, J Salmon, N Hall, J Bañares-Alcántara, R Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title | Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title_full | Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title_fullStr | Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title_full_unstemmed | Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title_short | Optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
| title_sort | optimal fuel supply of green ammonia to decarbonise global shipping |
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