Statistical basis for predicting technological progress
Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as...
Main Authors: | Nagy, B, Farmer, J, Bui, Q, Trancik, J |
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Public Library of Science
2013
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