News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models

This paper uses a VAR model estimated with Bayesian methods to identify the effect of productivity news shocks on labor market variables by imposing that they are orthogonal to current technology but they explain future observed technology. In the aftermath of a positive news shock, unemployment fa...

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Main Authors: Zanetti, F, Theodoridis, K
Format: Working paper
Published: University of Oxford 2014
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author Zanetti, F
Theodoridis, K
author_facet Zanetti, F
Theodoridis, K
author_sort Zanetti, F
collection OXFORD
description This paper uses a VAR model estimated with Bayesian methods to identify the effect of productivity news shocks on labor market variables by imposing that they are orthogonal to current technology but they explain future observed technology. In the aftermath of a positive news shock, unemployment falls, whereas wages and the job finding rate increase. The analysis establishes that news shocks are important in explaining the historical developments in labor market variables, whereas they play a minor role for movements in real activity. We show that the empirical responses to news shocks are in line with those of a baseline search and matching model of the labor market and that the job destruction rate and real wage rigidities are critical for the variables' responses to the news shock.
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spelling oxford-uuid:50d6ebee-36d4-4a3b-b1f9-804bfb4f6cde2022-03-26T16:15:58ZNews and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching modelsWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:50d6ebee-36d4-4a3b-b1f9-804bfb4f6cdeBulk import via SwordSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2014Zanetti, FTheodoridis, KThis paper uses a VAR model estimated with Bayesian methods to identify the effect of productivity news shocks on labor market variables by imposing that they are orthogonal to current technology but they explain future observed technology. In the aftermath of a positive news shock, unemployment falls, whereas wages and the job finding rate increase. The analysis establishes that news shocks are important in explaining the historical developments in labor market variables, whereas they play a minor role for movements in real activity. We show that the empirical responses to news shocks are in line with those of a baseline search and matching model of the labor market and that the job destruction rate and real wage rigidities are critical for the variables' responses to the news shock.
spellingShingle Zanetti, F
Theodoridis, K
News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title_full News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title_fullStr News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title_full_unstemmed News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title_short News and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
title_sort news and labor market dynamics in the data and in matching models
work_keys_str_mv AT zanettif newsandlabormarketdynamicsinthedataandinmatchingmodels
AT theodoridisk newsandlabormarketdynamicsinthedataandinmatchingmodels