Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China

<p>During July 2017, an unprecedentedly intense heat wave struck Central-Eastern China, resulting in drastically-increased human morbidity/mortality, steeply-reduced agriculture productivity, and serious shortage of electricity and water supply (China Climate Bulletin of 2017). Many meteorolog...

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Main Authors: Chen, Y, Chen, W, Su, Q, Luo, F, Sparrow, S, Tian, F, Dong, B, Tett, S, Lott, F, Wallom, D
Format: Journal article
Published: American Meteorological Society 2019
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author Chen, Y
Chen, W
Su, Q
Luo, F
Sparrow, S
Tian, F
Dong, B
Tett, S
Lott, F
Wallom, D
author_facet Chen, Y
Chen, W
Su, Q
Luo, F
Sparrow, S
Tian, F
Dong, B
Tett, S
Lott, F
Wallom, D
author_sort Chen, Y
collection OXFORD
description <p>During July 2017, an unprecedentedly intense heat wave struck Central-Eastern China, resulting in drastically-increased human morbidity/mortality, steeply-reduced agriculture productivity, and serious shortage of electricity and water supply (China Climate Bulletin of 2017). Many meteorological stations registered 15–25 hot days (daily maximum temperature over 35°C), and some even had their record-high July temperatures, such as a new record of 40.9°C amongst historical observations since 1873 in Xu-Jia-Hui station in Shanghai (China Climate Bulletin of 2017). The China Meteorological Administration issued 10 high-level warnings against hot weather during 21st–25th July. Such unprecedentedly frequent alarms within only 5 days attracted intense scrutiny from policy-makers, media, and the public on the relationship between this heat wave and global warming.</p> <br/> <p>Previous studies usually conducted attribution analyses on seasonal warmth in Central-Eastern China (e.g. the 2013 record-breaking summer, Sun et al. 2014), leaving attribution statements for short-term (synoptic) hot extremes sparsely reported. This study therefore attempts to answer whether and to what extent anthropogenic warming has increased the likelihood of 5-day heat waves as hot or hotter than the 21st–25th July 2017 case over Central-Eastern China.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:53224c67-3530-4fe0-86ed-c4ca94e9a3d72022-03-26T16:29:45ZAnthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern ChinaJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:53224c67-3530-4fe0-86ed-c4ca94e9a3d7Symplectic Elements at OxfordAmerican Meteorological Society2019Chen, YChen, WSu, QLuo, FSparrow, STian, FDong, BTett, SLott, FWallom, D<p>During July 2017, an unprecedentedly intense heat wave struck Central-Eastern China, resulting in drastically-increased human morbidity/mortality, steeply-reduced agriculture productivity, and serious shortage of electricity and water supply (China Climate Bulletin of 2017). Many meteorological stations registered 15–25 hot days (daily maximum temperature over 35°C), and some even had their record-high July temperatures, such as a new record of 40.9°C amongst historical observations since 1873 in Xu-Jia-Hui station in Shanghai (China Climate Bulletin of 2017). The China Meteorological Administration issued 10 high-level warnings against hot weather during 21st–25th July. Such unprecedentedly frequent alarms within only 5 days attracted intense scrutiny from policy-makers, media, and the public on the relationship between this heat wave and global warming.</p> <br/> <p>Previous studies usually conducted attribution analyses on seasonal warmth in Central-Eastern China (e.g. the 2013 record-breaking summer, Sun et al. 2014), leaving attribution statements for short-term (synoptic) hot extremes sparsely reported. This study therefore attempts to answer whether and to what extent anthropogenic warming has increased the likelihood of 5-day heat waves as hot or hotter than the 21st–25th July 2017 case over Central-Eastern China.</p>
spellingShingle Chen, Y
Chen, W
Su, Q
Luo, F
Sparrow, S
Tian, F
Dong, B
Tett, S
Lott, F
Wallom, D
Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title_full Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title_fullStr Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title_full_unstemmed Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title_short Anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of July 2017–like heat waves over central eastern China
title_sort anthropogenic warming has substantially increased the likelihood of july 2017 like heat waves over central eastern china
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