Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting
Trust in the reported data of contagious diseases in real time is important for policy makers. Media and politicians have cast doubt on Chinese reported data on COVID-19 cases. We find Chinese confirmed infections match the distribution expected in Benford’s Law and are similar to that se...
| Auteurs principaux: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Journal article |
| Langue: | English |
| Publié: |
Elsevier
2020
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| _version_ | 1826272680031027200 |
|---|---|
| author | Koch, C Okamura, K |
| author_facet | Koch, C Okamura, K |
| author_sort | Koch, C |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | Trust in the reported data of contagious diseases in real time is important for policy makers. Media and politicians have cast doubt on Chinese reported data on COVID-19 cases. We find Chinese confirmed infections match the distribution expected in Benford’s Law and are similar to that seen in the U.S. and Italy. We identify a more likely candidate for problems in the policy making process: Poor multilateral data sharing on testing and sampling. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T22:16:24Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:538662db-abe4-4e8d-b967-d9835a0e5c87 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T22:16:24Z |
| publishDate | 2020 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:538662db-abe4-4e8d-b967-d9835a0e5c872022-03-26T16:32:14ZBenford’s Law and COVID-19 ReportingJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:538662db-abe4-4e8d-b967-d9835a0e5c87EnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2020Koch, COkamura, KTrust in the reported data of contagious diseases in real time is important for policy makers. Media and politicians have cast doubt on Chinese reported data on COVID-19 cases. We find Chinese confirmed infections match the distribution expected in Benford’s Law and are similar to that seen in the U.S. and Italy. We identify a more likely candidate for problems in the policy making process: Poor multilateral data sharing on testing and sampling. |
| spellingShingle | Koch, C Okamura, K Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title | Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title_full | Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title_fullStr | Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title_full_unstemmed | Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title_short | Benford’s Law and COVID-19 Reporting |
| title_sort | benford s law and covid 19 reporting |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kochc benfordslawandcovid19reporting AT okamurak benfordslawandcovid19reporting |