Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit

<p><strong>Introduction:&nbsp;</strong>New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common arrhythmia in patients on an intensive care unit (ICU). NOAF in this setting is associated with adverse short and long-term outcomes. Little is known about modifiable risk factors for NOAF....

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Main Authors: Bedford, JPN, Hatch, R, Redfern, O, Gerry, S, Mertes, G, Clifton, D, Watkinson, P, Collins, G
Format: Report
Language:English
Published: University of Oxford 2021
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author Bedford, JPN
Hatch, R
Redfern, O
Gerry, S
Mertes, G
Clifton, D
Watkinson, P
Collins, G
author_facet Bedford, JPN
Hatch, R
Redfern, O
Gerry, S
Mertes, G
Clifton, D
Watkinson, P
Collins, G
author_sort Bedford, JPN
collection OXFORD
description <p><strong>Introduction:&nbsp;</strong>New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common arrhythmia in patients on an intensive care unit (ICU). NOAF in this setting is associated with adverse short and long-term outcomes. Little is known about modifiable risk factors for NOAF. Developing a model to identify patients at high risk of developing NOAF is vital for future studies investigating prevention strategies to allow stratification, sample enrichment and efficient study design.</p> <p><strong>Methods:&nbsp;</strong>We will use data from 7 general ICUs in the UK and USA to develop a predictive model for NOAF. We will assess whether including longitudinal, dynamic predictors, along with the use of machine learning approaches improves model predictive ability.</p> <p><strong>Generalisability and Implications:&nbsp;</strong>This work will be the largest assessment of predictors of NOAF in patients treated on a general ICU. It will be the first to analyse international data to ensure worldwide applicability. A detailed understanding of modifiable risk factors underpins future work to prevent NOAF in these patients.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:5546f6f3-e19c-4793-9843-7f036a5940a22023-07-13T11:08:55ZStatistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unitReporthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_93fcuuid:5546f6f3-e19c-4793-9843-7f036a5940a2EnglishSymplectic ElementsUniversity of Oxford2021Bedford, JPNHatch, RRedfern, OGerry, SMertes, GClifton, DWatkinson, PCollins, G<p><strong>Introduction:&nbsp;</strong>New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common arrhythmia in patients on an intensive care unit (ICU). NOAF in this setting is associated with adverse short and long-term outcomes. Little is known about modifiable risk factors for NOAF. Developing a model to identify patients at high risk of developing NOAF is vital for future studies investigating prevention strategies to allow stratification, sample enrichment and efficient study design.</p> <p><strong>Methods:&nbsp;</strong>We will use data from 7 general ICUs in the UK and USA to develop a predictive model for NOAF. We will assess whether including longitudinal, dynamic predictors, along with the use of machine learning approaches improves model predictive ability.</p> <p><strong>Generalisability and Implications:&nbsp;</strong>This work will be the largest assessment of predictors of NOAF in patients treated on a general ICU. It will be the first to analyse international data to ensure worldwide applicability. A detailed understanding of modifiable risk factors underpins future work to prevent NOAF in these patients.</p>
spellingShingle Bedford, JPN
Hatch, R
Redfern, O
Gerry, S
Mertes, G
Clifton, D
Watkinson, P
Collins, G
Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title_full Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title_fullStr Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title_full_unstemmed Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title_short Statistical analysis plan: Development and validation of prediction models for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
title_sort statistical analysis plan development and validation of prediction models for new onset atrial fibrillation in patients admitted to an intensive care unit
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