Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector

Atmospheric circulation is often clustered in so‐called circulation regimes, which are persistent and recurrent patterns. For the Euro‐Atlantic sector in winter, most studies identify four regimes: the Atlantic Ridge, Scandinavian Blocking and the two phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation. These...

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Үндсэн зохиолчид: Falkena, SKJ, de Wiljes, J, Weisheimer, A, Shepherd, TG
Формат: Journal article
Хэл сонгох:English
Хэвлэсэн: Wiley 2020
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author Falkena, SKJ
de Wiljes, J
Weisheimer, A
Shepherd, TG
author_facet Falkena, SKJ
de Wiljes, J
Weisheimer, A
Shepherd, TG
author_sort Falkena, SKJ
collection OXFORD
description Atmospheric circulation is often clustered in so‐called circulation regimes, which are persistent and recurrent patterns. For the Euro‐Atlantic sector in winter, most studies identify four regimes: the Atlantic Ridge, Scandinavian Blocking and the two phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation. These results are obtained by applying k‐means clustering to the first several empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) of geopotential height data. Studying the observed circulation in reanalysis data, it is found that when the full field data are used for the k‐means cluster analysis instead of the EOFs, the optimal number of clusters is no longer four but six. The two extra regimes that are found are the opposites of the Atlantic Ridge and Scandinavian Blocking, meaning they have a low‐pressure area roughly where the original regimes have a high‐pressure area. This introduces an appealing symmetry in the clustering result. Incorporating a weak persistence constraint in the clustering procedure is found to lead to a longer duration of regimes, extending beyond the synoptic time‐scale, without changing their occurrence rates. This is in contrast to the commonly used application of a time‐filter to the data before the clustering is executed, which, while increasing the persistence, changes the occurrence rates of the regimes. We conclude that applying a persistence constraint within the clustering procedure is a better way of stabilizing the clustering results than low‐pass filtering the data.
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spelling oxford-uuid:56267646-a077-47a9-a4ef-d2ad40978f7e2022-03-26T16:48:37ZRevisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sectorJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:56267646-a077-47a9-a4ef-d2ad40978f7eEnglishSymplectic ElementsWiley2020Falkena, SKJde Wiljes, JWeisheimer, AShepherd, TGAtmospheric circulation is often clustered in so‐called circulation regimes, which are persistent and recurrent patterns. For the Euro‐Atlantic sector in winter, most studies identify four regimes: the Atlantic Ridge, Scandinavian Blocking and the two phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation. These results are obtained by applying k‐means clustering to the first several empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) of geopotential height data. Studying the observed circulation in reanalysis data, it is found that when the full field data are used for the k‐means cluster analysis instead of the EOFs, the optimal number of clusters is no longer four but six. The two extra regimes that are found are the opposites of the Atlantic Ridge and Scandinavian Blocking, meaning they have a low‐pressure area roughly where the original regimes have a high‐pressure area. This introduces an appealing symmetry in the clustering result. Incorporating a weak persistence constraint in the clustering procedure is found to lead to a longer duration of regimes, extending beyond the synoptic time‐scale, without changing their occurrence rates. This is in contrast to the commonly used application of a time‐filter to the data before the clustering is executed, which, while increasing the persistence, changes the occurrence rates of the regimes. We conclude that applying a persistence constraint within the clustering procedure is a better way of stabilizing the clustering results than low‐pass filtering the data.
spellingShingle Falkena, SKJ
de Wiljes, J
Weisheimer, A
Shepherd, TG
Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title_full Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title_fullStr Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title_full_unstemmed Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title_short Revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the Euro‐Atlantic sector
title_sort revisiting the identification of wintertime atmospheric circulation regimes in the euro atlantic sector
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AT weisheimera revisitingtheidentificationofwintertimeatmosphericcirculationregimesintheeuroatlanticsector
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