Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
The probabilistic skill of ensemble forecasts for the first month and the first season of the forecasts is assessed, where model uncertainty is represented by the a) multi-model, b) perturbed parameters, and c) stochastic parameterisation ensembles. The main foci of the assessment are the Brier Skil...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2011
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Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles
Published 2011
Journal article