Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles

The probabilistic skill of ensemble forecasts for the first month and the first season of the forecasts is assessed, where model uncertainty is represented by the a) multi-model, b) perturbed parameters, and c) stochastic parameterisation ensembles. The main foci of the assessment are the Brier Skil...

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Váldodahkkit: Weisheimer, A, Palmer, T, Doblas-Reyes, F
Materiálatiipa: Journal article
Giella:English
Almmustuhtton: 2011