Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population.
The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological, and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes ("extreme events"). We study the large, internal changes produced in a generic multiagent population competing for a limi...
| Autori principali: | , , |
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| Natura: | Journal article |
| Lingua: | English |
| Pubblicazione: |
2002
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| _version_ | 1826274209184088064 |
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| author | Lamper, D Howison, S Johnson, N |
| author_facet | Lamper, D Howison, S Johnson, N |
| author_sort | Lamper, D |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological, and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes ("extreme events"). We study the large, internal changes produced in a generic multiagent population competing for a limited resource, and find that the level of predictability increases prior to a large change. These large changes hence arise as a predictable consequence of information encoded in the system's global state. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T22:39:58Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:5b36f874-238e-496a-a1a7-34fa11e5457c |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T22:39:58Z |
| publishDate | 2002 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:5b36f874-238e-496a-a1a7-34fa11e5457c2022-03-26T17:20:43ZPredictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:5b36f874-238e-496a-a1a7-34fa11e5457cEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2002Lamper, DHowison, SJohnson, NThe dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological, and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes ("extreme events"). We study the large, internal changes produced in a generic multiagent population competing for a limited resource, and find that the level of predictability increases prior to a large change. These large changes hence arise as a predictable consequence of information encoded in the system's global state. |
| spellingShingle | Lamper, D Howison, S Johnson, N Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title | Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title_full | Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title_fullStr | Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title_short | Predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population. |
| title_sort | predictability of large future changes in a competitive evolving population |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lamperd predictabilityoflargefuturechangesinacompetitiveevolvingpopulation AT howisons predictabilityoflargefuturechangesinacompetitiveevolvingpopulation AT johnsonn predictabilityoflargefuturechangesinacompetitiveevolvingpopulation |