The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system

<br><strong>Background<br></strong> A multi-tiered surveillance system based on influenza surveillance was adopted in the United Kingdom in the early stages of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic to monitor different stages of the disease. Mandatory social and physica...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bernal, JL, Sinnathamby, MA, Elgohari, S, Zhao, H, Obi, C, Coughlan, L, Lampos, V, Simmons, R, Tessier, E, Campbell, H, McDonald, S, Ellis, J, Hughes, H, Smith, G, Joy, M, Tripathy, M, Byford, R, Ferreira, F, de Lusignan, S, Zambon, M, Dabrera, G, Brown, K, Saliba, V, Andrews, N, Amirthalingam, G, Mandal, S, Edelstein, M, Elliot, AJ, Ramsay, M
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control 2021
_version_ 1797070532898717696
author Bernal, JL
Sinnathamby, MA
Elgohari, S
Zhao, H
Obi, C
Coughlan, L
Lampos, V
Simmons, R
Tessier, E
Campbell, H
McDonald, S
Ellis, J
Hughes, H
Smith, G
Joy, M
Tripathy, M
Byford, R
Ferreira, F
de Lusignan, S
Zambon, M
Dabrera, G
Brown, K
Saliba, V
Andrews, N
Amirthalingam, G
Mandal, S
Edelstein, M
Elliot, AJ
Ramsay, M
author_facet Bernal, JL
Sinnathamby, MA
Elgohari, S
Zhao, H
Obi, C
Coughlan, L
Lampos, V
Simmons, R
Tessier, E
Campbell, H
McDonald, S
Ellis, J
Hughes, H
Smith, G
Joy, M
Tripathy, M
Byford, R
Ferreira, F
de Lusignan, S
Zambon, M
Dabrera, G
Brown, K
Saliba, V
Andrews, N
Amirthalingam, G
Mandal, S
Edelstein, M
Elliot, AJ
Ramsay, M
author_sort Bernal, JL
collection OXFORD
description <br><strong>Background<br></strong> A multi-tiered surveillance system based on influenza surveillance was adopted in the United Kingdom in the early stages of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic to monitor different stages of the disease. Mandatory social and physical distancing measures (SPDM) were introduced on 23 March 2020 to attempt to limit transmission. <br><strong>Aim<br></strong> To describe the impact of SPDM on COVID-19 activity as detected through the different surveillance systems. <br><strong>Methods<br></strong> Data from national population surveys, web-based indicators, syndromic surveillance, sentinel swabbing, respiratory outbreaks, secondary care admissions and mortality indicators from the start of the epidemic to week 18 2020 were used to identify the timing of peaks in surveillance indicators relative to the introduction of SPDM. This timing was compared with median time from symptom onset to different stages of illness and levels of care or interactions with healthcare services. <br><strong>Results<br></strong> The impact of SPDM was detected within 1 week through population surveys, web search indicators and sentinel swabbing reported by onset date. There were detectable impacts on syndromic surveillance indicators for difficulty breathing, influenza-like illness and COVID-19 coding at 2, 7 and 12 days respectively, hospitalisations and critical care admissions (both 12 days), laboratory positivity (14 days), deaths (17 days) and nursing home outbreaks (4 weeks). <br><strong>Conclusion<br></strong> The impact of SPDM on COVID-19 activity was detectable within 1 week through community surveillance indicators, highlighting their importance in early detection of changes in activity. Community swabbing surveillance may be increasingly important as a specific indicator, should circulation of seasonal respiratory viruses increase.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T22:40:15Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:5b4dc06f-a951-4b9b-b6bb-a0c927000d5a
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T22:40:15Z
publishDate 2021
publisher European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:5b4dc06f-a951-4b9b-b6bb-a0c927000d5a2022-03-26T17:21:19ZThe impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance systemJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:5b4dc06f-a951-4b9b-b6bb-a0c927000d5aEnglishSymplectic ElementsEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control2021Bernal, JLSinnathamby, MAElgohari, SZhao, HObi, CCoughlan, LLampos, VSimmons, RTessier, ECampbell, HMcDonald, SEllis, JHughes, HSmith, GJoy, MTripathy, MByford, RFerreira, Fde Lusignan, SZambon, MDabrera, GBrown, KSaliba, VAndrews, NAmirthalingam, GMandal, SEdelstein, MElliot, AJRamsay, M<br><strong>Background<br></strong> A multi-tiered surveillance system based on influenza surveillance was adopted in the United Kingdom in the early stages of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic to monitor different stages of the disease. Mandatory social and physical distancing measures (SPDM) were introduced on 23 March 2020 to attempt to limit transmission. <br><strong>Aim<br></strong> To describe the impact of SPDM on COVID-19 activity as detected through the different surveillance systems. <br><strong>Methods<br></strong> Data from national population surveys, web-based indicators, syndromic surveillance, sentinel swabbing, respiratory outbreaks, secondary care admissions and mortality indicators from the start of the epidemic to week 18 2020 were used to identify the timing of peaks in surveillance indicators relative to the introduction of SPDM. This timing was compared with median time from symptom onset to different stages of illness and levels of care or interactions with healthcare services. <br><strong>Results<br></strong> The impact of SPDM was detected within 1 week through population surveys, web search indicators and sentinel swabbing reported by onset date. There were detectable impacts on syndromic surveillance indicators for difficulty breathing, influenza-like illness and COVID-19 coding at 2, 7 and 12 days respectively, hospitalisations and critical care admissions (both 12 days), laboratory positivity (14 days), deaths (17 days) and nursing home outbreaks (4 weeks). <br><strong>Conclusion<br></strong> The impact of SPDM on COVID-19 activity was detectable within 1 week through community surveillance indicators, highlighting their importance in early detection of changes in activity. Community swabbing surveillance may be increasingly important as a specific indicator, should circulation of seasonal respiratory viruses increase.
spellingShingle Bernal, JL
Sinnathamby, MA
Elgohari, S
Zhao, H
Obi, C
Coughlan, L
Lampos, V
Simmons, R
Tessier, E
Campbell, H
McDonald, S
Ellis, J
Hughes, H
Smith, G
Joy, M
Tripathy, M
Byford, R
Ferreira, F
de Lusignan, S
Zambon, M
Dabrera, G
Brown, K
Saliba, V
Andrews, N
Amirthalingam, G
Mandal, S
Edelstein, M
Elliot, AJ
Ramsay, M
The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title_full The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title_fullStr The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title_full_unstemmed The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title_short The impact of social and physical distancing measures on COVID-19 activity in England: findings from a multi-tiered surveillance system
title_sort impact of social and physical distancing measures on covid 19 activity in england findings from a multi tiered surveillance system
work_keys_str_mv AT bernaljl theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT sinnathambyma theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT elgoharis theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT zhaoh theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT obic theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT coughlanl theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT lamposv theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT simmonsr theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT tessiere theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT campbellh theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT mcdonalds theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ellisj theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT hughesh theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT smithg theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT joym theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT tripathym theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT byfordr theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ferreiraf theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT delusignans theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT zambonm theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT dabrerag theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT brownk theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT salibav theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT andrewsn theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT amirthalingamg theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT mandals theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT edelsteinm theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT elliotaj theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ramsaym theimpactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT bernaljl impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT sinnathambyma impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT elgoharis impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT zhaoh impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT obic impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT coughlanl impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT lamposv impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT simmonsr impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT tessiere impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT campbellh impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT mcdonalds impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ellisj impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT hughesh impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT smithg impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT joym impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT tripathym impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT byfordr impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ferreiraf impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT delusignans impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT zambonm impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT dabrerag impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT brownk impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT salibav impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT andrewsn impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT amirthalingamg impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT mandals impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT edelsteinm impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT elliotaj impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem
AT ramsaym impactofsocialandphysicaldistancingmeasuresoncovid19activityinenglandfindingsfromamultitieredsurveillancesystem