Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer

<p><strong>Objectives</strong> This retrospective cohort study developed a prognostic model incorporating PET texture analysis in patients with oesophageal cancer (OC). Internal validation of the model was performed.</p> <p><strong>Methods</strong> Consecuti...

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Main Authors: Foley, KG, Hills, RK, Berthon, B, Marshall, C, Parkinson, C, Lewis, WG, Crosby, TDL, Spezi, E, Roberts, SA
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Springer Verlag 2017
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author Foley, KG
Hills, RK
Berthon, B
Marshall, C
Parkinson, C
Lewis, WG
Crosby, TDL
Spezi, E
Roberts, SA
author_facet Foley, KG
Hills, RK
Berthon, B
Marshall, C
Parkinson, C
Lewis, WG
Crosby, TDL
Spezi, E
Roberts, SA
author_sort Foley, KG
collection OXFORD
description <p><strong>Objectives</strong> This retrospective cohort study developed a prognostic model incorporating PET texture analysis in patients with oesophageal cancer (OC). Internal validation of the model was performed.</p> <p><strong>Methods</strong> Consecutive OC patients (n = 403) were chronologically separated into development (n = 302, September 2010-September 2014, median age = 67.0, males = 227, adenocarcinomas = 237) and validation cohorts (n = 101, September 2014-July 2015, median age = 69.0, males = 78, adenocarcinomas = 79). Texture metrics were obtained using a machine-learning algorithm for automatic PET segmentation. A Cox regression model including age, radiological stage, treatment and 16 texture metrics was developed. Patients were stratified into quartiles according to a prognostic score derived from the model. A p-value &lt; 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS).</p> <p><strong>Results</strong> Six variables were significantly and independently associated with OS: age [HR =1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04), p &lt; 0.001], radiological stage [1.49 (1.20-1.84), p &lt; 0.001], treatment [0.34 (0.24–0.47), p &lt; 0.001], log(TLG) [5.74 (1.44–22.83), p = 0.013], log(Histogram Energy) [0.27 (0.10–0.74), p = 0.011] and Histogram Kurtosis [1.22 (1.04–1.44), p = 0.017]. The prognostic score demonstrated significant differences in OS between quartiles in both the development (X2 143.14, df 3, p &lt; 0.001) and validation cohorts (X2 20.621, df 3, p &lt; 0.001).</p> <p><strong>Conclusions</strong> This prognostic model can risk stratify patients and demonstrates the additional benefit of PET texture analysis in OC staging.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:5c4e3f59-613a-4121-b699-f688c3c164422022-03-26T17:27:25ZDevelopment and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancerJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:5c4e3f59-613a-4121-b699-f688c3c16442EnglishSymplectic Elements at OxfordSpringer Verlag2017Foley, KGHills, RKBerthon, BMarshall, CParkinson, CLewis, WGCrosby, TDLSpezi, ERoberts, SA<p><strong>Objectives</strong> This retrospective cohort study developed a prognostic model incorporating PET texture analysis in patients with oesophageal cancer (OC). Internal validation of the model was performed.</p> <p><strong>Methods</strong> Consecutive OC patients (n = 403) were chronologically separated into development (n = 302, September 2010-September 2014, median age = 67.0, males = 227, adenocarcinomas = 237) and validation cohorts (n = 101, September 2014-July 2015, median age = 69.0, males = 78, adenocarcinomas = 79). Texture metrics were obtained using a machine-learning algorithm for automatic PET segmentation. A Cox regression model including age, radiological stage, treatment and 16 texture metrics was developed. Patients were stratified into quartiles according to a prognostic score derived from the model. A p-value &lt; 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS).</p> <p><strong>Results</strong> Six variables were significantly and independently associated with OS: age [HR =1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04), p &lt; 0.001], radiological stage [1.49 (1.20-1.84), p &lt; 0.001], treatment [0.34 (0.24–0.47), p &lt; 0.001], log(TLG) [5.74 (1.44–22.83), p = 0.013], log(Histogram Energy) [0.27 (0.10–0.74), p = 0.011] and Histogram Kurtosis [1.22 (1.04–1.44), p = 0.017]. The prognostic score demonstrated significant differences in OS between quartiles in both the development (X2 143.14, df 3, p &lt; 0.001) and validation cohorts (X2 20.621, df 3, p &lt; 0.001).</p> <p><strong>Conclusions</strong> This prognostic model can risk stratify patients and demonstrates the additional benefit of PET texture analysis in OC staging.</p>
spellingShingle Foley, KG
Hills, RK
Berthon, B
Marshall, C
Parkinson, C
Lewis, WG
Crosby, TDL
Spezi, E
Roberts, SA
Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title_full Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title_fullStr Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title_full_unstemmed Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title_short Development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of PET in patients with oesophageal cancer
title_sort development and validation of a prognostic model incorporating texture analysis derived from standardised segmentation of pet in patients with oesophageal cancer
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