Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.

BACKGROUND: In randomised trials, rather than comparing randomised groups directly some researchers carry out a significance test comparing a baseline with a final measurement separately in each group. METHODS: We give several examples where this has been done. We use simulation to demonstrate that...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bland, J, Altman, D
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2011
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author Bland, J
Altman, D
author_facet Bland, J
Altman, D
author_sort Bland, J
collection OXFORD
description BACKGROUND: In randomised trials, rather than comparing randomised groups directly some researchers carry out a significance test comparing a baseline with a final measurement separately in each group. METHODS: We give several examples where this has been done. We use simulation to demonstrate that the procedure is invalid and also show this algebraically. RESULTS: This approach is biased and invalid, producing conclusions which are, potentially, highly misleading. The actual alpha level of this procedure can be as high as 0.50 for two groups and 0.75 for three. CONCLUSIONS: Randomised groups should be compared directly by two-sample methods and separate tests against baseline are highly misleading.
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spelling oxford-uuid:5f1c7888-42ff-4fbb-a4b6-898624d6f4a42022-03-26T17:44:50ZComparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:5f1c7888-42ff-4fbb-a4b6-898624d6f4a4EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2011Bland, JAltman, D BACKGROUND: In randomised trials, rather than comparing randomised groups directly some researchers carry out a significance test comparing a baseline with a final measurement separately in each group. METHODS: We give several examples where this has been done. We use simulation to demonstrate that the procedure is invalid and also show this algebraically. RESULTS: This approach is biased and invalid, producing conclusions which are, potentially, highly misleading. The actual alpha level of this procedure can be as high as 0.50 for two groups and 0.75 for three. CONCLUSIONS: Randomised groups should be compared directly by two-sample methods and separate tests against baseline are highly misleading.
spellingShingle Bland, J
Altman, D
Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title_full Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title_fullStr Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title_full_unstemmed Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title_short Comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading.
title_sort comparisons against baseline within randomised groups are often used and can be highly misleading
work_keys_str_mv AT blandj comparisonsagainstbaselinewithinrandomisedgroupsareoftenusedandcanbehighlymisleading
AT altmand comparisonsagainstbaselinewithinrandomisedgroupsareoftenusedandcanbehighlymisleading