The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.

A multivariate hierarchical analysis was used to assess the significance of several demographic and clinical factors in multiple sclerosis patients. We used the time to reach level 6 on the disability status scale (DSS) of Kurtzke as endpoint. Several factors at presentation were significantly assoc...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Weinshenker, BG, Rice, G, Noseworthy, J, Carriere, W, Baskerville, J, Ebers, G
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 1991
_version_ 1797071437328023552
author Weinshenker, BG
Rice, G
Noseworthy, J
Carriere, W
Baskerville, J
Ebers, G
author_facet Weinshenker, BG
Rice, G
Noseworthy, J
Carriere, W
Baskerville, J
Ebers, G
author_sort Weinshenker, BG
collection OXFORD
description A multivariate hierarchical analysis was used to assess the significance of several demographic and clinical factors in multiple sclerosis patients. We used the time to reach level 6 on the disability status scale (DSS) of Kurtzke as endpoint. Several factors at presentation were significantly associated with an adverse outcome including older age at onset, male sex, cerebellar involvement or insidious onset of a motor deficit as first symptom. Factors ascertained later which were associated significantly with a worse outcome, even after controlling for those previously mentioned, included persisting deficits in brainstem, cerebellar or cerebral systems, a higher frequency of attacks in the first 2 yrs after onset of disease, a short first interattack interval and higher DSS at 2 yrs and 5 yrs from onset. An analysis similar to multiple regression was used to generate predictive models which permit the calculation of the median time to DSS 6 for patients with a given set of covariates. The goodness of fit of these models to the data and their predictive accuracy are discussed.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T22:53:13Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:5f7ea8f1-d15a-4caa-ad78-fe8bff84aa87
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T22:53:13Z
publishDate 1991
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:5f7ea8f1-d15a-4caa-ad78-fe8bff84aa872022-03-26T17:47:17ZThe natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:5f7ea8f1-d15a-4caa-ad78-fe8bff84aa87EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford1991Weinshenker, BGRice, GNoseworthy, JCarriere, WBaskerville, JEbers, GA multivariate hierarchical analysis was used to assess the significance of several demographic and clinical factors in multiple sclerosis patients. We used the time to reach level 6 on the disability status scale (DSS) of Kurtzke as endpoint. Several factors at presentation were significantly associated with an adverse outcome including older age at onset, male sex, cerebellar involvement or insidious onset of a motor deficit as first symptom. Factors ascertained later which were associated significantly with a worse outcome, even after controlling for those previously mentioned, included persisting deficits in brainstem, cerebellar or cerebral systems, a higher frequency of attacks in the first 2 yrs after onset of disease, a short first interattack interval and higher DSS at 2 yrs and 5 yrs from onset. An analysis similar to multiple regression was used to generate predictive models which permit the calculation of the median time to DSS 6 for patients with a given set of covariates. The goodness of fit of these models to the data and their predictive accuracy are discussed.
spellingShingle Weinshenker, BG
Rice, G
Noseworthy, J
Carriere, W
Baskerville, J
Ebers, G
The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title_full The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title_fullStr The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title_full_unstemmed The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title_short The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. 3. Multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome.
title_sort natural history of multiple sclerosis a geographically based study 3 multivariate analysis of predictive factors and models of outcome
work_keys_str_mv AT weinshenkerbg thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT riceg thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT noseworthyj thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT carrierew thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT baskervillej thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT ebersg thenaturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT weinshenkerbg naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT riceg naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT noseworthyj naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT carrierew naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT baskervillej naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome
AT ebersg naturalhistoryofmultiplesclerosisageographicallybasedstudy3multivariateanalysisofpredictivefactorsandmodelsofoutcome