Robust hedging GANs

<p>The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at best an approximation of market reality, prone to mode...

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Main Authors: Limmer, Y, Horvath, B
Format: Internet publication
Language:English
Published: 2023
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author Limmer, Y
Horvath, B
author_facet Limmer, Y
Horvath, B
author_sort Limmer, Y
collection OXFORD
description <p>The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at best an approximation of market reality, prone to model-misspecification and estimation errors. This raises the question, how to furnish a modelling setup with tools that can address the risk of discrepancy between anticipated distribution and market reality, in an automated way. Automated robustification is currently attracting increased attention in numerous investment problems, but it is a delicate task due to its imminent implications on risk management. Hence, it is beyond doubt that more activity can be anticipated on this topic to converge towards a consensus on best practices.</p> <p>This paper presents a natural extension of the original deep hedging framework to address uncertainty in the data generating process via an adversarial approach inspired by GANs to automate robustification in our hedging objective. This is achieved through an interplay of three modular components: (i) a (deep) hedging engine, (ii) a data-generating process (that is model agnostic permitting a large variety of classical models as well as machine learning-based market generators), and (iii) a notion of distance on model space to measure deviations between our market prognosis and reality. We do not restrict the ambiguity set to a region around a reference model, but instead penalize deviations from the anticipated distribution. Our suggested choice for each component is motivated by model agnosticism, allowing a seamless transition between settings. Since all individual components are already used in practice, we believe that our framework is easily adaptable to existing functional settings.</p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:5f9d6b47-0a03-4083-bbca-b47178692fcb2024-10-09T09:33:18ZRobust hedging GANsInternet publicationhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7ad9uuid:5f9d6b47-0a03-4083-bbca-b47178692fcbEnglishSymplectic Elements2023Limmer, YHorvath, B<p>The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at best an approximation of market reality, prone to model-misspecification and estimation errors. This raises the question, how to furnish a modelling setup with tools that can address the risk of discrepancy between anticipated distribution and market reality, in an automated way. Automated robustification is currently attracting increased attention in numerous investment problems, but it is a delicate task due to its imminent implications on risk management. Hence, it is beyond doubt that more activity can be anticipated on this topic to converge towards a consensus on best practices.</p> <p>This paper presents a natural extension of the original deep hedging framework to address uncertainty in the data generating process via an adversarial approach inspired by GANs to automate robustification in our hedging objective. This is achieved through an interplay of three modular components: (i) a (deep) hedging engine, (ii) a data-generating process (that is model agnostic permitting a large variety of classical models as well as machine learning-based market generators), and (iii) a notion of distance on model space to measure deviations between our market prognosis and reality. We do not restrict the ambiguity set to a region around a reference model, but instead penalize deviations from the anticipated distribution. Our suggested choice for each component is motivated by model agnosticism, allowing a seamless transition between settings. Since all individual components are already used in practice, we believe that our framework is easily adaptable to existing functional settings.</p>
spellingShingle Limmer, Y
Horvath, B
Robust hedging GANs
title Robust hedging GANs
title_full Robust hedging GANs
title_fullStr Robust hedging GANs
title_full_unstemmed Robust hedging GANs
title_short Robust hedging GANs
title_sort robust hedging gans
work_keys_str_mv AT limmery robusthedginggans
AT horvathb robusthedginggans