| Summary: | <p><strong>Background/Aims:</strong> Ultrasonography has a low sensitivity for detecting early-stage hepatocellu- lar carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic patients. Non-contrast abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (aMRI) demonstrated a comparable performance to that of magnetic resonance imaging without the risk of contrast media exposure and at a lower cost than that of full diagnostic MRI. We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of non-contrast aMRI for HCC surveillance in cirrhotic pa- tients, using ultrasonography with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as a reference.</p>
<p><strong>Methods:</strong> Cost-utility analysis was performed using a Markov model in Thailand and the United States. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated using the total costs and quality- adjusted life years (QALYs) gained in each strategy. Surveillance protocols were considered cost-effective based on a willingness-to-pay value of USD 4,665 (160,000 Thai Baht) in Thailand and USD 50,000 in the United States.</p>
<p><strong>Results:</strong> aMRI was cost-effective in both countries with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of USD 3,667/QALY in Thailand and USD 37,062/QALY in the United States. Patient-level microsimulations showed consistent findings that aMRI was cost-effective in both countries. By probabilistic sen- sitivity analysis, aMRI was found to be more cost-effective than combined ultrasonography and AFP with a probability of 0.77 in Thailand and 0.98 in the United States. By sensitivity analyses, annual HCC incidence was revealed as the most influential factor affecting cost-effectiveness. The cost-effectiveness of aMRI increased in settings with a higher HCC incidence. At a higher HCC incidence, aMRI would remain cost-effective at a higher aMRI-to-ultrasonography with AFP cost ratio.</p>
<p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> Compared to ultrasonography with AFP, non-contrast aMRI is a cost-effective strategy for HCC surveillance and may be useful for such surveillance in cirrhotic patients, espe- cially in those with high HCC risks.</p>
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