External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings.
A comparison of observations with simulations of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model shows that both natural and anthropogenic factors have contributed significantly to 20th century temperature changes. The model successfully simulates global mean and large-scale land temperature va...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Journal article |
| Idioma: | English |
| Publicado em: |
2000
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| _version_ | 1826275683064610816 |
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| author | Stott, P Tett, S Jones, G Allen, M Mitchell, J Jenkins, G |
| author_facet | Stott, P Tett, S Jones, G Allen, M Mitchell, J Jenkins, G |
| author_sort | Stott, P |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | A comparison of observations with simulations of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model shows that both natural and anthropogenic factors have contributed significantly to 20th century temperature changes. The model successfully simulates global mean and large-scale land temperature variations, indicating that the climate response on these scales is strongly influenced by external factors. More than 80% of observed multidecadal-scale global mean temperature variations and more than 60% of 10- to 50-year land temperature variations are due to changes in external forcings. Anthropogenic global warming under a standard emissions scenario is predicted to continue at a rate similar to that observed in recent decades. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T23:02:30Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:62a182ad-177f-4818-999e-471532f33e28 |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T23:02:30Z |
| publishDate | 2000 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:62a182ad-177f-4818-999e-471532f33e282022-03-26T18:07:33ZExternal control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:62a182ad-177f-4818-999e-471532f33e28EnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2000Stott, PTett, SJones, GAllen, MMitchell, JJenkins, GA comparison of observations with simulations of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model shows that both natural and anthropogenic factors have contributed significantly to 20th century temperature changes. The model successfully simulates global mean and large-scale land temperature variations, indicating that the climate response on these scales is strongly influenced by external factors. More than 80% of observed multidecadal-scale global mean temperature variations and more than 60% of 10- to 50-year land temperature variations are due to changes in external forcings. Anthropogenic global warming under a standard emissions scenario is predicted to continue at a rate similar to that observed in recent decades. |
| spellingShingle | Stott, P Tett, S Jones, G Allen, M Mitchell, J Jenkins, G External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title | External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title_full | External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title_fullStr | External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title_full_unstemmed | External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title_short | External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. |
| title_sort | external control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT stottp externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings AT tetts externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings AT jonesg externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings AT allenm externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings AT mitchellj externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings AT jenkinsg externalcontrolof20thcenturytemperaturebynaturalandanthropogenicforcings |