Smooth robust multi-horizon forecasts

We investigate whether smooth robust methods for forecasting can help mitigate pronounced and persistent failure across multiple forecast horizons. We demonstrate that naive predictors are interpretable as local estimators of the long-run relationship with the advantage of adapting quickly after a b...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Martinez, AB, Castle, JL, Hendry, DF
Autres auteurs: Chudik, A
Format: Journal article
Langue:English
Publié: Emerald 2022