Smooth robust multi-horizon forecasts

We investigate whether smooth robust methods for forecasting can help mitigate pronounced and persistent failure across multiple forecast horizons. We demonstrate that naive predictors are interpretable as local estimators of the long-run relationship with the advantage of adapting quickly after a b...

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Main Authors: Martinez, AB, Castle, JL, Hendry, DF
其他作者: Chudik, A
格式: Journal article
语言:English
出版: Emerald 2022