Distributions of LRS in varying environments

The lifetime reproductive success (LRS) of individuals is affected by random events such as death, realized growth or realized reproduction, and the outcomes of these events can differ even when individuals have identical probabilities. Another source of randomness arises when these probabilities al...

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Main Authors: Tuljapurkar, S, Zuo, W, Coulson, T, Horvitz, C, Gaillard, J-M
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021
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author Tuljapurkar, S
Zuo, W
Coulson, T
Horvitz, C
Gaillard, J-M
author_facet Tuljapurkar, S
Zuo, W
Coulson, T
Horvitz, C
Gaillard, J-M
author_sort Tuljapurkar, S
collection OXFORD
description The lifetime reproductive success (LRS) of individuals is affected by random events such as death, realized growth or realized reproduction, and the outcomes of these events can differ even when individuals have identical probabilities. Another source of randomness arises when these probabilities also change over time in variable environments. For structured populations in stochastic environments, we extend our recent method to determine how birth environment and birth stage determine the random distribution of the LRS. Our results provide a null model that quantifies effects on LRS of just the birth size or stage. Using Roe deer Capreolus capreolus as a case study, we show that the effect of an individual's birth environment on LRS varies with the frequency of environments and their temporal autocorrelation, and that lifetime performance is affected by changes in the pattern of environmental states expected as a result of climate change.
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spelling oxford-uuid:63d61e95-a334-4980-ae10-5a4fe675a01d2022-04-26T09:58:09ZDistributions of LRS in varying environmentsJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_545buuid:63d61e95-a334-4980-ae10-5a4fe675a01dEnglishSymplectic ElementsWiley2021Tuljapurkar, SZuo, WCoulson, THorvitz, CGaillard, J-MThe lifetime reproductive success (LRS) of individuals is affected by random events such as death, realized growth or realized reproduction, and the outcomes of these events can differ even when individuals have identical probabilities. Another source of randomness arises when these probabilities also change over time in variable environments. For structured populations in stochastic environments, we extend our recent method to determine how birth environment and birth stage determine the random distribution of the LRS. Our results provide a null model that quantifies effects on LRS of just the birth size or stage. Using Roe deer Capreolus capreolus as a case study, we show that the effect of an individual's birth environment on LRS varies with the frequency of environments and their temporal autocorrelation, and that lifetime performance is affected by changes in the pattern of environmental states expected as a result of climate change.
spellingShingle Tuljapurkar, S
Zuo, W
Coulson, T
Horvitz, C
Gaillard, J-M
Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title_full Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title_fullStr Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title_full_unstemmed Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title_short Distributions of LRS in varying environments
title_sort distributions of lrs in varying environments
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