The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe

This paper by Jonathan Stern and Howard Rogers argue that Continental European gas markets are moving inexorably from oil-linked to hub-based pricing. Market prices for gas increasingly reflect a complex combination of national regional and global supply and demand for gas rather than oil products....

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Main Authors: Stern, J, Rogers, H
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2011
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author Stern, J
Rogers, H
author_facet Stern, J
Rogers, H
author_sort Stern, J
collection OXFORD
description This paper by Jonathan Stern and Howard Rogers argue that Continental European gas markets are moving inexorably from oil-linked to hub-based pricing. Market prices for gas increasingly reflect a complex combination of national regional and global supply and demand for gas rather than oil products. An increasingly competitive European gas market created by third party access enforced by a combination of EU and national regulations means that any supplier refusing to supply gas at hub prices will lose customers. The commercial risk for utilities which are importing gas at oil-linked prices under long term contracts but forced to sell at market prices has become untenable. The European gas industry is in the early stages of a commercial paradigm shift away from oil-linked and towards hub-based pricing. This is likely to be accompanied by major changes in contractual arrangements including termination of many existing long term contracts probably involving significant litigation.
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spelling oxford-uuid:641d9113-3973-41dd-b30b-684738a8e3652022-03-26T18:17:02ZThe Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental EuropeWorking paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:641d9113-3973-41dd-b30b-684738a8e365EnglishOxford University Research Archive - ValetOxford Institute for Energy Studies2011Stern, JRogers, HThis paper by Jonathan Stern and Howard Rogers argue that Continental European gas markets are moving inexorably from oil-linked to hub-based pricing. Market prices for gas increasingly reflect a complex combination of national regional and global supply and demand for gas rather than oil products. An increasingly competitive European gas market created by third party access enforced by a combination of EU and national regulations means that any supplier refusing to supply gas at hub prices will lose customers. The commercial risk for utilities which are importing gas at oil-linked prices under long term contracts but forced to sell at market prices has become untenable. The European gas industry is in the early stages of a commercial paradigm shift away from oil-linked and towards hub-based pricing. This is likely to be accompanied by major changes in contractual arrangements including termination of many existing long term contracts probably involving significant litigation.
spellingShingle Stern, J
Rogers, H
The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title_full The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title_fullStr The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title_full_unstemmed The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title_short The Transition to Hub-Based Gas Pricing in Continental Europe
title_sort transition to hub based gas pricing in continental europe
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AT rogersh thetransitiontohubbasedgaspricingincontinentaleurope
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