Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?
It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data mode...
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Format: | Journal article |
Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2021
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_version_ | 1797108925890297856 |
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author | Castle, JL |
author_facet | Castle, JL |
author_sort | Castle, JL |
collection | OXFORD |
description | It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:34:50Z |
format | Journal article |
id | oxford-uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafb |
institution | University of Oxford |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:34:50Z |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | dspace |
spelling | oxford-uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafb2023-03-03T13:13:11ZCommentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafbEnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2021Castle, JLIt is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting. |
spellingShingle | Castle, JL Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title_full | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title_fullStr | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title_full_unstemmed | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title_short | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
title_sort | commentary on transparent modelling of influenza incidence is the answer simplicity or adaptability |
work_keys_str_mv | AT castlejl commentaryontransparentmodellingofinfluenzaincidenceistheanswersimplicityoradaptability |