Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?
It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data mode...
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| Format: | Journal article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2021
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| _version_ | 1797108925890297856 |
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| author | Castle, JL |
| author_facet | Castle, JL |
| author_sort | Castle, JL |
| collection | OXFORD |
| description | It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:34:50Z |
| format | Journal article |
| id | oxford-uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafb |
| institution | University of Oxford |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T07:34:50Z |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | oxford-uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafb2023-03-03T13:13:11ZCommentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501uuid:645e51e1-dbe2-4642-a8ef-e6c4d838eafbEnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2021Castle, JLIt is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting. |
| spellingShingle | Castle, JL Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title_full | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title_fullStr | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title_full_unstemmed | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title_short | Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability? |
| title_sort | commentary on transparent modelling of influenza incidence is the answer simplicity or adaptability |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT castlejl commentaryontransparentmodellingofinfluenzaincidenceistheanswersimplicityoradaptability |