Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change

Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted co...

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Main Authors: Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J, Díaz, S, Rifai, SW, Berenguer, E, Malhi, Y
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2025
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author Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J
Díaz, S
Rifai, SW
Berenguer, E
Malhi, Y
author_facet Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J
Díaz, S
Rifai, SW
Berenguer, E
Malhi, Y
author_sort Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J
collection OXFORD
description Understanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.
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spelling oxford-uuid:65513988-f7a1-495f-a999-950d48a4524f2025-03-10T09:15:03ZTropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate changeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:65513988-f7a1-495f-a999-950d48a4524fEnglishSymplectic ElementsAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science2025Aguirre-Gutiérrez, JDíaz, SRifai, SWBerenguer, EMalhi, YUnderstanding the capacity of forests to adapt to climate change is of pivotal importance for conservation science, yet this is still widely unknown. This knowledge gap is particularly acute in high-biodiversity tropical forests. Here, we examined how tropical forests of the Americas have shifted community trait composition in recent decades as a response to changes in climate. Based on historical trait-climate relationships, we found that, overall, the studied functional traits show shifts of less than 8% of what would be expected given the observed changes in climate. However, the recruit assemblage shows shifts of 21% relative to climate change expectation. The most diverse forests on Earth are changing in functional trait composition but at a rate that is fundamentally insufficient to track climate change.
spellingShingle Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J
Díaz, S
Rifai, SW
Berenguer, E
Malhi, Y
Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title_full Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title_fullStr Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title_full_unstemmed Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title_short Tropical forests in the Americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
title_sort tropical forests in the americas are changing too slowly to track climate change
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