Currency boards and currency Crises.

This paper demonstrates how a currency board can become vulnerable to a crisis in which the policymaker is forced to devalue. The model is built from two blocks: first, incomplete information about the devaluation cost faced by the policymaker; and second, unemployment persistence. Incomplete inform...

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Main Author: Irwin, G
Format: Working paper
Language:English
Published: Department of Economics (University of Oxford) 2001
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author Irwin, G
author_facet Irwin, G
author_sort Irwin, G
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description This paper demonstrates how a currency board can become vulnerable to a crisis in which the policymaker is forced to devalue. The model is built from two blocks: first, incomplete information about the devaluation cost faced by the policymaker; and second, unemployment persistence. Incomplete information can result in multiple equilibria. In one class of equilibrium the policymaker has a credibility problem and maintaining the currency board is costly in terms of unemployment. If unemployment is persistent then pressure to devalue can build up over time until it becomes unbearable and the policymaker is forced to devalue.
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spelling oxford-uuid:669a95ef-6a6c-426e-855f-f4bf7e7bcb7f2022-03-26T18:32:56ZCurrency boards and currency Crises.Working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042uuid:669a95ef-6a6c-426e-855f-f4bf7e7bcb7fEnglishDepartment of Economics - ePrintsDepartment of Economics (University of Oxford)2001Irwin, GThis paper demonstrates how a currency board can become vulnerable to a crisis in which the policymaker is forced to devalue. The model is built from two blocks: first, incomplete information about the devaluation cost faced by the policymaker; and second, unemployment persistence. Incomplete information can result in multiple equilibria. In one class of equilibrium the policymaker has a credibility problem and maintaining the currency board is costly in terms of unemployment. If unemployment is persistent then pressure to devalue can build up over time until it becomes unbearable and the policymaker is forced to devalue.
spellingShingle Irwin, G
Currency boards and currency Crises.
title Currency boards and currency Crises.
title_full Currency boards and currency Crises.
title_fullStr Currency boards and currency Crises.
title_full_unstemmed Currency boards and currency Crises.
title_short Currency boards and currency Crises.
title_sort currency boards and currency crises
work_keys_str_mv AT irwing currencyboardsandcurrencycrises