Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. METHODS: We conducted a sy...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Vickers, A, Savage, C, O'Brien, M, Lilja, H
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: 2009
_version_ 1797073481002647552
author Vickers, A
Savage, C
O'Brien, M
Lilja, H
author_facet Vickers, A
Savage, C
O'Brien, M
Lilja, H
author_sort Vickers, A
collection OXFORD
description PURPOSE: Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of studies published before March 2007 in which a PSA dynamic (velocity or doubling time) was calculated in patients before definitive treatment, a subsequent event (such as biopsy or recurrence) was ascertained, and the association between the two was analyzed. Our principal end point was the type of analysis reported, particularly whether the predictive accuracy of a statistical model that included both absolute PSA level and a PSA dynamic was compared with that of a model that included only PSA. RESULTS: Eighty-seven articles were eligible for analysis. The most common end points were biopsy (42 articles), and either recurrence (14 articles) or metastases or death (14 articles) after definitive therapy. Although PSA dynamics were generally found to be associated with outcome, only one article compared predictive accuracy of models with and without a PSA dynamic: this reported that PSA velocity improved prediction slightly (from 0.81 to 0.83), but was subject to verification bias. No article used decision analytic methods to examine the clinical impact of PSA dynamics. CONCLUSION: There is little evidence that calculation of PSA velocity or doubling time in untreated patients provides predictive information beyond that provided by absolute PSA level alone. We see no justification for the use of PSA dynamics in clinical decision making before treatment in early-stage prostate cancer.
first_indexed 2024-03-06T23:22:48Z
format Journal article
id oxford-uuid:69508413-3219-486d-949f-69a8800f512b
institution University of Oxford
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-06T23:22:48Z
publishDate 2009
record_format dspace
spelling oxford-uuid:69508413-3219-486d-949f-69a8800f512b2022-03-26T18:50:30ZSystematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:69508413-3219-486d-949f-69a8800f512bEnglishSymplectic Elements at Oxford2009Vickers, ASavage, CO'Brien, MLilja, H PURPOSE: Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of studies published before March 2007 in which a PSA dynamic (velocity or doubling time) was calculated in patients before definitive treatment, a subsequent event (such as biopsy or recurrence) was ascertained, and the association between the two was analyzed. Our principal end point was the type of analysis reported, particularly whether the predictive accuracy of a statistical model that included both absolute PSA level and a PSA dynamic was compared with that of a model that included only PSA. RESULTS: Eighty-seven articles were eligible for analysis. The most common end points were biopsy (42 articles), and either recurrence (14 articles) or metastases or death (14 articles) after definitive therapy. Although PSA dynamics were generally found to be associated with outcome, only one article compared predictive accuracy of models with and without a PSA dynamic: this reported that PSA velocity improved prediction slightly (from 0.81 to 0.83), but was subject to verification bias. No article used decision analytic methods to examine the clinical impact of PSA dynamics. CONCLUSION: There is little evidence that calculation of PSA velocity or doubling time in untreated patients provides predictive information beyond that provided by absolute PSA level alone. We see no justification for the use of PSA dynamics in clinical decision making before treatment in early-stage prostate cancer.
spellingShingle Vickers, A
Savage, C
O'Brien, M
Lilja, H
Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title_full Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title_fullStr Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title_full_unstemmed Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title_short Systematic review of pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer.
title_sort systematic review of pretreatment prostate specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer
work_keys_str_mv AT vickersa systematicreviewofpretreatmentprostatespecificantigenvelocityanddoublingtimeaspredictorsforprostatecancer
AT savagec systematicreviewofpretreatmentprostatespecificantigenvelocityanddoublingtimeaspredictorsforprostatecancer
AT obrienm systematicreviewofpretreatmentprostatespecificantigenvelocityanddoublingtimeaspredictorsforprostatecancer
AT liljah systematicreviewofpretreatmentprostatespecificantigenvelocityanddoublingtimeaspredictorsforprostatecancer