Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran

A body of research suggests that social media has afforded new opportunities for orchestrating mobilization in autocracies. However, the mechanisms linking online coordination with offline mobilization are rarely demonstrated. We address this lacuna by exploring the impact of Farsi-language social m...

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Main Authors: Kadivar, MA, Ketchley, N, Sotoudeh-Sherbaf, A, Barrie, C
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Oxford University Press 2024
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author Kadivar, MA
Ketchley, N
Sotoudeh-Sherbaf, A
Barrie, C
author_facet Kadivar, MA
Ketchley, N
Sotoudeh-Sherbaf, A
Barrie, C
author_sort Kadivar, MA
collection OXFORD
description A body of research suggests that social media has afforded new opportunities for orchestrating mobilization in autocracies. However, the mechanisms linking online coordination with offline mobilization are rarely demonstrated. We address this lacuna by exploring the impact of Farsi-language social media posts that called for protest on precise days and locations in Iran during the 2017 ‘Dey Protests’. To conduct our analysis, we match a dataset of posts with an original protest event catalogue. Our results show that if a district was the subject of a protest call, it was much more likely to witness higher levels of mobilization on the target date. This relationship was especially pronounced for calls that received more online engagement. The findings suggest that the digital commons can play a role akin to an analogue protest flyer: social media posts can inform broad audiences of the where and when of upcoming mobilization.
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spelling oxford-uuid:6a1f7c8e-fb4e-4fd6-8410-bcbcbae4e28b2024-08-15T09:19:02ZOnline calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran Journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:6a1f7c8e-fb4e-4fd6-8410-bcbcbae4e28bEnglishSymplectic ElementsOxford University Press2024Kadivar, MAKetchley, NSotoudeh-Sherbaf, ABarrie, CA body of research suggests that social media has afforded new opportunities for orchestrating mobilization in autocracies. However, the mechanisms linking online coordination with offline mobilization are rarely demonstrated. We address this lacuna by exploring the impact of Farsi-language social media posts that called for protest on precise days and locations in Iran during the 2017 ‘Dey Protests’. To conduct our analysis, we match a dataset of posts with an original protest event catalogue. Our results show that if a district was the subject of a protest call, it was much more likely to witness higher levels of mobilization on the target date. This relationship was especially pronounced for calls that received more online engagement. The findings suggest that the digital commons can play a role akin to an analogue protest flyer: social media posts can inform broad audiences of the where and when of upcoming mobilization.
spellingShingle Kadivar, MA
Ketchley, N
Sotoudeh-Sherbaf, A
Barrie, C
Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title_full Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title_fullStr Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title_short Online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies: evidence from the 2017 Dey Protests in Iran
title_sort online calls for protest and offline mobilization in autocracies evidence from the 2017 dey protests in iran
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AT ketchleyn onlinecallsforprotestandofflinemobilizationinautocraciesevidencefromthe2017deyprotestsiniran
AT sotoudehsherbafa onlinecallsforprotestandofflinemobilizationinautocraciesevidencefromthe2017deyprotestsiniran
AT barriec onlinecallsforprotestandofflinemobilizationinautocraciesevidencefromthe2017deyprotestsiniran