Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise

<p style="text-align:justify;"> We consider the recent novel two‐step estimator of Iaryczower and Shum (American Economic Review 2012; 102: 202–237), who analyze voting decisions of US Supreme Court justices. Motivated by the underlying theoretical voting model, we suggest that wher...

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Hauptverfasser: Hansen, S, McMahon, M, Srisuma, S
Format: Journal article
Veröffentlicht: Wiley 2015
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author Hansen, S
McMahon, M
Srisuma, S
author_facet Hansen, S
McMahon, M
Srisuma, S
author_sort Hansen, S
collection OXFORD
description <p style="text-align:justify;"> We consider the recent novel two‐step estimator of Iaryczower and Shum (American Economic Review 2012; 102: 202–237), who analyze voting decisions of US Supreme Court justices. Motivated by the underlying theoretical voting model, we suggest that where the data under consideration display variation in the common prior, estimates of the structural parameters based on their methodology should generally benefit from including interaction terms between individual and time covariates in the first stage whenever there is individual heterogeneity in expertise. We show numerically, via simulation and re‐estimation of the US Supreme Court data, that the first‐order interaction effects that appear in the theoretical model can have an important empirical implication. </p>
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spelling oxford-uuid:6a3d7843-9150-4302-8faa-dd15a3b23a852022-03-26T18:56:09ZEstimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertiseJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:6a3d7843-9150-4302-8faa-dd15a3b23a85Symplectic Elements at OxfordWiley2015Hansen, SMcMahon, MSrisuma, S <p style="text-align:justify;"> We consider the recent novel two‐step estimator of Iaryczower and Shum (American Economic Review 2012; 102: 202–237), who analyze voting decisions of US Supreme Court justices. Motivated by the underlying theoretical voting model, we suggest that where the data under consideration display variation in the common prior, estimates of the structural parameters based on their methodology should generally benefit from including interaction terms between individual and time covariates in the first stage whenever there is individual heterogeneity in expertise. We show numerically, via simulation and re‐estimation of the US Supreme Court data, that the first‐order interaction effects that appear in the theoretical model can have an important empirical implication. </p>
spellingShingle Hansen, S
McMahon, M
Srisuma, S
Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title_full Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title_fullStr Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title_full_unstemmed Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title_short Estimating Bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
title_sort estimating bayesian decision problems with heterogeneous expertise
work_keys_str_mv AT hansens estimatingbayesiandecisionproblemswithheterogeneousexpertise
AT mcmahonm estimatingbayesiandecisionproblemswithheterogeneousexpertise
AT srisumas estimatingbayesiandecisionproblemswithheterogeneousexpertise