Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand

Spatially explicit capture-recapture analysis is widely utilized for estimating densities of tigers (Panthera tigris). However, developing a robust study design capable of meeting assumptions and achieving study objectives may be difficult, particularly for low-density populations. Study design deci...

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Prif Awduron: Ash, E, Hallam, C, Chanteap, P, Kaszta, Z, Macdonald, DW, Rojanachinda, W, Redford, T, Harihar, A
Fformat: Journal article
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Elsevier 2020
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author Ash, E
Hallam, C
Chanteap, P
Kaszta, Z
Macdonald, DW
Rojanachinda, W
Redford, T
Harihar, A
author_facet Ash, E
Hallam, C
Chanteap, P
Kaszta, Z
Macdonald, DW
Rojanachinda, W
Redford, T
Harihar, A
author_sort Ash, E
collection OXFORD
description Spatially explicit capture-recapture analysis is widely utilized for estimating densities of tigers (Panthera tigris). However, developing a robust study design capable of meeting assumptions and achieving study objectives may be difficult, particularly for low-density populations. Study design decisions for such fieldwork can be aided by simulations. Our goal was to (1) use simulations to investigate and evaluate study design and (2) generate a reliable estimate of density for a population of tigers in Thailand's Dong Phayayen-Khao Yai forest complex. Scenarios were parameterized with a range of potential density estimates ( and detection function parameters (g0 and σ). We designed a field-based trap configuration identified and compared it with simulated performance of a regular trapping array, over 45-day and 60-day sampling occasions. We compared simulation results (i.e. number of individuals [n], detections [ndet], relative standard error [RSE] and relative bias [RB]) and identified that the non-regular trapping array deployed for 60 sampling days would generate reliable density estimates. Our survey produced a density estimate of 0.63 ± SE0.22; (0.32–1.21) tigers per 100 km2, from a model incorporating variation in sex for g0 and σ, and a population estimate of 20 (14–33). Simulations closely reflected actual results under the null model. Our survey design performed reasonably well, generating a sufficient number of detections and individuals to estimate density of a globally important tiger population. Our results suggest simulations and use of non-regular trap arrays may be beneficial for areas with low species density in which generating sufficient detections is particularly challenging.
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spelling oxford-uuid:6c3ff657-424e-4924-8db7-05355de4b92e2022-03-26T19:09:38ZEstimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern ThailandJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:6c3ff657-424e-4924-8db7-05355de4b92eEnglishSymplectic ElementsElsevier2020Ash, EHallam, CChanteap, PKaszta, ZMacdonald, DWRojanachinda, WRedford, THarihar, ASpatially explicit capture-recapture analysis is widely utilized for estimating densities of tigers (Panthera tigris). However, developing a robust study design capable of meeting assumptions and achieving study objectives may be difficult, particularly for low-density populations. Study design decisions for such fieldwork can be aided by simulations. Our goal was to (1) use simulations to investigate and evaluate study design and (2) generate a reliable estimate of density for a population of tigers in Thailand's Dong Phayayen-Khao Yai forest complex. Scenarios were parameterized with a range of potential density estimates ( and detection function parameters (g0 and σ). We designed a field-based trap configuration identified and compared it with simulated performance of a regular trapping array, over 45-day and 60-day sampling occasions. We compared simulation results (i.e. number of individuals [n], detections [ndet], relative standard error [RSE] and relative bias [RB]) and identified that the non-regular trapping array deployed for 60 sampling days would generate reliable density estimates. Our survey produced a density estimate of 0.63 ± SE0.22; (0.32–1.21) tigers per 100 km2, from a model incorporating variation in sex for g0 and σ, and a population estimate of 20 (14–33). Simulations closely reflected actual results under the null model. Our survey design performed reasonably well, generating a sufficient number of detections and individuals to estimate density of a globally important tiger population. Our results suggest simulations and use of non-regular trap arrays may be beneficial for areas with low species density in which generating sufficient detections is particularly challenging.
spellingShingle Ash, E
Hallam, C
Chanteap, P
Kaszta, Z
Macdonald, DW
Rojanachinda, W
Redford, T
Harihar, A
Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title_full Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title_fullStr Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title_short Estimating the density of a globally important tiger (Panthera tigris) population: using simulations to evaluate survey design in Eastern Thailand
title_sort estimating the density of a globally important tiger panthera tigris population using simulations to evaluate survey design in eastern thailand
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