A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning

National infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly...

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Autores principales: Hall, J, Otto, A, Hickford, A, Nicholls, R, Alderson, D, Barr, S, Tran, M
Formato: Journal article
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: IEEE 2017
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author Hall, J
Otto, A
Hickford, A
Nicholls, R
Alderson, D
Barr, S
Tran, M
author_facet Hall, J
Otto, A
Hickford, A
Nicholls, R
Alderson, D
Barr, S
Tran, M
author_sort Hall, J
collection OXFORD
description National infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly managed in isolation from one another. Here, we argue that the growing interconnection between these systems and the convergent challenges ahead (i.e., demographic, technological, and climate change) call for an integrated “system-of-systems” approach to managing NI. Toward that end, we propose a modeling framework for the long-term (to 2100) simulation of NI system performance in a highly uncertain future. The approach is based on the assessment of the performance of infrastructure services in a wide range of possible future conditions. This robust optimization is used to identify cross-sectoral strategies that ensure satisfactory infrastructure performance. We demonstrate the framework using Great Britain's NI as an example.
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spelling oxford-uuid:6dd21e2f-d67a-401f-bb9b-0a07192498302022-03-26T19:20:16ZA quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planningJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:6dd21e2f-d67a-401f-bb9b-0a0719249830EnglishORA DepositIEEE2017Hall, JOtto, AHickford, ANicholls, RAlderson, DBarr, STran, MNational infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly managed in isolation from one another. Here, we argue that the growing interconnection between these systems and the convergent challenges ahead (i.e., demographic, technological, and climate change) call for an integrated “system-of-systems” approach to managing NI. Toward that end, we propose a modeling framework for the long-term (to 2100) simulation of NI system performance in a highly uncertain future. The approach is based on the assessment of the performance of infrastructure services in a wide range of possible future conditions. This robust optimization is used to identify cross-sectoral strategies that ensure satisfactory infrastructure performance. We demonstrate the framework using Great Britain's NI as an example.
spellingShingle Hall, J
Otto, A
Hickford, A
Nicholls, R
Alderson, D
Barr, S
Tran, M
A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title_full A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title_fullStr A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title_full_unstemmed A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title_short A quantified system-of-systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
title_sort quantified system of systems modeling framework for robust national infrastructure planning
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