Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative

In many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from data in an online manner. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be achieved using stochastic gradient search, where the underlying gradient estimation is based on the optimal filter and the optima...

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Main Authors: Tadic, VZB, Doucet, A
Format: Journal article
Language:English
Published: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics 2021
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author Tadic, VZB
Doucet, A
author_facet Tadic, VZB
Doucet, A
author_sort Tadic, VZB
collection OXFORD
description In many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from data in an online manner. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be achieved using stochastic gradient search, where the underlying gradient estimation is based on the optimal filter and the optimal filter derivative. However, the optimal filter and its derivative are not analytically tractable for a non-linear state-space model and need to be approximated numerically. In [22], a particle approximation to this derivative has been proposed, while the corresponding central limit theorem and Lp error bounds have been established in [11]. We derive here bounds on the bias of this particle approximation. Under mixing conditions, these bounds are uniform in time and inversely proportional to the number of particles.
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spelling oxford-uuid:6df24db1-9121-441a-924c-1befd8da64f22022-03-26T19:21:09ZBias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivativeJournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_dcae04bcuuid:6df24db1-9121-441a-924c-1befd8da64f2EnglishSymplectic ElementsSociety for Industrial and Applied Mathematics2021Tadic, VZBDoucet, AIn many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from data in an online manner. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be achieved using stochastic gradient search, where the underlying gradient estimation is based on the optimal filter and the optimal filter derivative. However, the optimal filter and its derivative are not analytically tractable for a non-linear state-space model and need to be approximated numerically. In [22], a particle approximation to this derivative has been proposed, while the corresponding central limit theorem and Lp error bounds have been established in [11]. We derive here bounds on the bias of this particle approximation. Under mixing conditions, these bounds are uniform in time and inversely proportional to the number of particles.
spellingShingle Tadic, VZB
Doucet, A
Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title_full Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title_fullStr Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title_full_unstemmed Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title_short Bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
title_sort bias of particle approximations to optimal filter derivative
work_keys_str_mv AT tadicvzb biasofparticleapproximationstooptimalfilterderivative
AT douceta biasofparticleapproximationstooptimalfilterderivative