New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA.
Forecasts are presented for the 12-month ahead US rate of inflation measured by the chain weighted personal consumer expenditure deflator, PC, and its three main components: non-durable goods, durable goods and services. Monthly models are estimated for 1974 to 1999, and pseudo out-of-sample forecas...
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Working paper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Department of Economics (University of Oxford)
2008
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New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA
Published 2008
Working paper